The Matchday 21 clash in Ligue 1 between Lille and Le Havre will take place on February 8 at the Pierre-Mauroy Stadium in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Le Havre: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
In their last match, the team thrashed Saint-Étienne at home (4-1). The defeat in Round 19 to Strasbourg (1-2) remains Bruno Génésio's side's only loss in their last 16 league matches (7 wins, 8 draws). Despite keeping a clean sheet only once in their last 8 Ligue 1 games, Lille's defense is the third most reliable in the tournament with 20 goals conceded. In the overall standings, Lille is in 4th place.
- The team is unbeaten at home in 8 league matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 8 of Lille's last 9 home matches in Ligue 1.
- Lille conceded exactly 1 goal in 6 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-5-1)
Lucas Chevalier – Gabriel Gudmundsson, Bafodé Diakité, Aïssa Mandi, Alessandro – Rémy Cabella, Hákon Haraldsson, Ngalayel Mukau, Angel Gomes, André Gomes – Jonathan David.
Le Havre
Didier Digard's side last claimed three points in the league back in late November 2024. The draw in the last round against Angers extended the team's winless streak in Ligue 1 to 8 matches (2 draws, 6 losses). However, Le Havre managed to score in 5 of these encounters. The club is at the bottom of the standings, trailing the safety of 15th place by 6 points.
Defender Aruna Sangante will miss the match due to suspension. Midfielder Oussama Targhalline has transferred to Feyenoord.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Le Havre's last 7 away games in the league.
- Le Havre has not won in 8 of their last 9 away matches in Ligue 1 (2 draws, 6 losses).
- The number "1" appeared in the final score in 5 of Le Havre's last 6 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Le Havre (5-4-1)
Mathieu Gorgelin – Etienne Kinkoue, Gautier Lloris, Aruna Sangante, Loïc Nego, Fodé Ballo-Touré – Josué Casimir, Mahamadou Diarra, Antoine Joujou, Yassine Kechta – Ahmed Hassan.
Referee
Thomas Léonard (France)
Matches – 11 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 18;
Penalties – 25%.
Lille vs. Le Havre: Match Prediction
The emphatic victory in the last round should restore Bruno Génésio's team's confidence after some less than impressive results. Lille often drops points away, but at home, they are a formidable force: in their last 24 league matches, they have suffered only two defeats, against PSG and Lyon (15 wins, 7 draws). Notably, Lille has scored in 35 consecutive home matches in Ligue 1.
Le Havre is in a prolonged crisis: in their last 8 league matches, the team has suffered 6 defeats. Their defense has been a letdown, conceding 16 goals during this stretch. Additionally, they have lost all three previous meetings against Lille in this tournament with a total score of 0-8. Furthermore, Lille will be eager to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans after an unexpected exit from the French Cup.
My prediction: Lille to win and Total over 1.5 goals
