The central match of Ligue 1 Round 32 between Lille and Marseille will take place on May 4 at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy in Villeneuve-d'Ascq. Lille vs. Marseille: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lille
The team secured their third consecutive victory in Ligue 1 by defeating Angers 2-0 in the last round. Notably, this marks the first time Lille has won three consecutive matches in the current championship. Thanks to this successful run, the club has climbed to third place in the Ligue 1 standings. In the match against Angers, the team also managed to keep a clean sheet for the 11th time this season. Overall, Lille's defense is second only to PSG, having conceded 32 goals compared to the champion's 31. It's important to note that the club has won their last four home matches in Ligue 1.
- The team's uncompromising streak in the top French division stands at 14 matches (9 wins, 5 losses).
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Lille's last 11 matches in the championship.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 12 of Lille's previous home matches in Ligue 1.
Predicted lineup for Lille (4-4-2)
Lucas Chevalier – Thomas Meunier, Bafodé Diakité, Alessandro, Ismaily – André Gomes, Benjamin André, Mathias Fernandez Pardo, Hákon Haraldsson – Chuba Akpom, Jonathan David.
Defender Bafodé Diakité is unavailable due to suspension.
Marseille
After thrashing Montpellier 5-1 in the French championship, Marseille also won their next match in this tournament, defeating Brest 4-1. These victories not only helped the club reclaim second place in the Ligue 1 standings but also put them three points ahead of their closest pursuer. Additionally, such a high-scoring performance in the last two matches allowed Marseille to climb to second place in the list of the most prolific teams in the tournament, with 66 goals, second only to PSG's 84. However, Marseille's away form has been poor recently, losing their last four away matches in the championship.
- At least 4 goals have been scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 Ligue 1 matches.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of the team's last 6 matches in this tournament.
- The club has not drawn away in 17 championship matches (10 wins, 7 losses).
- Marseille has conceded exactly 3 goals in their last 4 away Ligue 1 matches.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-5-1)
Geronimo Rulli – Ulisses Garcia, Geoffrey Kondogbia, Leonardo Balerdi, Amir Murillo – Valentin Rongier, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Luis Henrique, Adrien Rabiot, Mason Greenwood – Amine Gouiri.
Referee
Eric Wattellier (France)
Matches – 15 (Ligue 1, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 52;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Lille vs. Marseille
The teams approach the upcoming match as neighbors in the standings, separated by just three points. The hosts have improved at the right time, achieving their longest winning streak of the current championship. At home, Lille has won their last four Ligue 1 matches, including victories over strong opponents like Monaco (2-1) and Lens (1-0). The team has extended their home scoring streak in this tournament to 40 matches. Lille continues to prove that they are traditionally strong at home. In the current championship, Lille has not lost in 13 of their 15 home matches, winning 10.
This could be problematic for Marseille, who have lost their last four away matches in the championship with a total score of 2-12. During this period, they even lost to modest Auxerre and Reims. Yes, the team won their last two Ligue 1 matches convincingly, but both victories came at home, including against a hopeless Montpellier. In their most recent away match, Marseille suffered a heavy defeat to another rival for second place in the championship, Monaco, with a score of 0-3.
Recent head-to-head statistics on Lille's home turf in Ligue 1 do not favor the visitors. Marseille has lost the last four matches there, conceding at least twice in each game. I am confident that this time, the hosts, who need to catch up with their upcoming opponent, will be closer to success. My prediction is Lille with a handicap (0)
