The second leg of the 2025/26 Champions League round-of-16 tie between Bayern Munich (Germany) and Atalanta BC (Italy) will take place on 18 March at the Allianz Arena in Munich. The score in the first leg was 6:1 in favour of Bayern Munich. Bayern Munich vs Atalanta BC: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany's side settled the question of qualification back in Italy. After thrashing Atalanta BC 6:1, the team claimed a fourth straight win in the Champions League. What is more, the Munich outfit scored at least twice in every match during that run. However, Bayern Munich have allowed opponents far too much at the other end: the club conceded in five of their previous six games in this tournament. In the return leg, the Germans would even be satisfied with a four-goal defeat, and the team have never lost by a margin of more than four goals in European competition. In addition, the Munich side have won 13 of their last 14 Champions League round-of-16 ties.
- Both teams scored in five of Bayern Munich's last six Champions League matches.
- In this tournament, the club are on a four-match winning run at home.
- At least three goals were scored in five of the Germans' previous six home games in the Champions League.
Potential Bayern Munich Lineup (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Kim Min-jae, Josip Stanisic, Tom Bischof, Jonathan Tah – Serge Gnabry, Lennart Karl, Leon Goretzka, Luis Diaz, Aleksandar Pavlovic – Harry Kane.
Defenders Alphonso Davies and Hiroki Ito, midfielder Jamal Musiala, and goalkeepers Sven Ulreich and Manuel Neuer are injured. Midfielders Joshua Kimmich and Michael Olise are suspended.
Atalanta BC
For the first time in international competition, the Bergamo club conceded six goals. Although the Italians have won three of their last five two-legged European ties against German clubs, securing another positive outcome after such a hammering looks virtually impossible. For Raffaele Palladino's men to take the tie at least into extra time, they must win the second leg by exactly five goals. It is worth noting that in the previous edition of the tournament, Atalanta BC recorded two such victories, but the opponents were far less formidable than Bayern Munich.
- The team have lost four of their previous five Champions League matches (one win).
- The Bergamo side scored in six of their last eight Champions League games.
- No more than three goals were scored in five of Atalanta BC's previous six away matches in this tournament.
Potential Atalanta BC Lineup (3-4-3)
Marco Carnesecchi – Sead Kolasinac, Isak Hien, Berat Djimsiti – Nicola Zalewski, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta – Marten de Roon, Nikola Krstovic, Charles De Ketelaere.
Midfielder Yunus Musah is suspended.
Referee
Benoit Bastien (France)
Matches – 6 (international matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 36;
Yellow cards per match on average – 6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match on average – 29;
Penalties – 83%.
Bayern Munich vs Atalanta BC: Match Prediction
In the previous match, the Munich outfit scored six goals even without Harry Kane. The return leg is turning into a formality, and nobody is capable of overturning such a handicap against Bayern Munich in their current form. At the same time, Atalanta BC have just two wins in their last seven away Champions League matches (one draw, four defeats). Still, the Bergamo side will try to go out with a flourish.
The Italians scored in six of their last eight Champions League matches, and during that spell they managed to find the net seven times against two German representatives. Raffaele Palladino's men have nothing to lose, with the result not weighing on them, so the team can calmly spend a lot of time on the attack. All the more so as the Munich side allow chances at their own goal, and they also have problems in goal right now.
The Germans conceded in five of their previous six Champions League games. In the last round of the Bundesliga, the team played an extremely tough match against Bayer, which took a lot of strength and emotion. On top of that, two Bayern Munich players at the end of the match in Italy, understanding the outcome of the tie, even decided to wipe their yellow-card count. Apparently, Vincent Kompany's men are expecting a walk in the park, and that is usually risky.
Prediction: Atalanta BC, over 0.5 goals
