La Liga’s 26th-round match between Valencia vs Osasuna will take place on 1 March at Mestalla. Valencia vs Osasuna: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Valencia
In the previous round, Valencia failed to take any points away at Villarreal (1:2). That result saw the home team end February with a third defeat in four recent La Liga matches. During that spell, the squad only avoided defeat in the away derby against Levante (2:0). Their current league position looks extremely precarious: ahead of Sunday’s match, Valencia sit 16th in the standings and are only two points clear of the relegation zone. It is also worth noting that across the last 14 league games, Valencia have scored against every opponent except Real Madrid.
- The team have conceded in five consecutive home La Liga matches.
- The club’s uncompromising run in this competition stands at six games (three wins, three defeats).
- At least two goals have been scored in five straight La Liga matches involving the team.
Potential Valencia Lineup (3-4-3)*
Stole Dimitrievski - Unai Nunez, Eray Comert, Jose Manuel Copete - Jose Luis Gaya, Guido Rodriguez, Javi Guerra, Luis Rioja - Largie Ramazani, Filip Ugrinic, Umar Sadiq.
Goalkeeper Julen Agirrezabala, as well as defenders Mouctar Diakhaby and Dimitri Foulquier, are unavailable due to injury. The participation of forward Lucas Beltran is in doubt.
Osasuna
Osasuna’s last match ended in a fairly unexpected win over Real Madrid (2:1). The away team’s unbeaten run in La Liga has now reached six matches, taking 14 points from a possible 18 in that spell - only Real Madrid have collected more (15). This surge has allowed Osasuna to cement a mid-table position and join the fight for a European place, with the top six now only four points away. It is also worth highlighting their improvement away from home: the visitors are unbeaten in three straight away La Liga matches (two wins, one draw), having previously suffered eight defeats in 10 games in this competition.
- Five of Osasuna’s last six league matches have gone over the total.
- The team have won with a (+1.5) handicap in nine consecutive matches in this competition.
- The club have conceded in six of their last seven away La Liga matches.
Potential Osasuna Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Sergio Herrera - Valentin Rosier, Jorge Herrando, Alejandro Catena, Javier Galan - Jon Moncayola, Lucas Torro - Victor Munoz, Ruben Garcia, Aimar Oros - Ante Budimir.
Key midfielder Aimar Oros is suspended. Due to injury, defender Enzo Boyomo and midfielder Iker Benito are not ready for the game.
Referee
Adrian Cordero (Spain)
Matches - 12 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) - 46;
Yellow cards per match on average - 3.8;
Red cards shown - 1;
Fouls per match on average - 25;
Penalties - 25%.
Valencia vs Osasuna: Match Prediction
Not long ago, Valencia improved and increased their win percentage in La Liga, but in February their results dipped again. Over the past month, the home team have only managed to beat relegation-zone side Levante, with the other three matches ending in defeat. Overall, across the winter period, the squad have won just three of their last 12 matches in the Spanish league. Even if we look strictly at their home record, only two of the last nine matches in this competition have ended in victory for Valencia.
Osasuna, meanwhile, have hit their best form of the season. The visitors have not lost in La Liga for a month and a half, and four of their six matches in that time have ended in wins. A week ago, the team secured the maximum result even against Real Madrid (2:1), showing they are ready to take on absolutely any opponent. Valencia can hardly be considered a convenient opponent, but in four of the last five head-to-head meetings in La Liga, Osasuna at least avoided defeat (two wins, two draws).
The visitors are improving away from home as well, so right now they look more convincing than Valencia.
Prediction: Osasuna, double chance
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is shown.
