The Serie A matchday 27 fixture between Udinese Calcio and ACF Fiorentina will take place on 2 March at the Dacia Arena. Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Udinese Calcio
The defeat to Bologna (0:1) last round was Udinese Calcio’s third in a row and already their 12th of the season. After 26 matches, Kosta Runjaic’s side sit 11th in the Serie A on 32 points. There is no talk of European qualification, but relegation is not a threat either, so the season is once again shaping up without trophies. Even against the backdrop of fairly mediocre results, there have been a few positives. One of them was the recent match against Roma, when the home team not only won but also managed to score against one of the league’s most reliable defences, while keeping a clean sheet themselves. Overall, though, the campaign has had no striking features, a typical mid-table showing: 28 goals scored and 39 conceded.
- In the last 10 home Serie A matches, the team have recorded 4 wins (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- On their own ground, the hosts have scored in 6 of their previous 7 league games.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 11 of the club’s 13 home matches this season.
Potential Udinese Calcio Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Maduka Okoye – Nicola Bertola, Thomas Kristensen, Umar Soule – Arthur Atta, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Jordan Zemura, Jesper Karlstrom, Lennon Miller, Kingsley Ehizibue – Vakoun Bayo
Defenders Hassane Kamara, Alessandro Zanoli and Jakub Petrovsky, as well as forward Keinan Davis, will miss the match through injury.
ACF Fiorentina
Unlike their opponents, the visitors have won their last two matches, and in the previous round they edged past Pisa at home (1:0). In addition, the club’s scoring run in the league has now reached nine games. At the same time, ACF Fiorentina kept a clean sheet for the first time in their previous nine matches in this competition. Thanks to that good spell, Paolo Vanoli’s men have climbed out of the relegation zone, although ACF Fiorentina have overtaken Lecce only on tiebreakers.
- Both teams have scored in 6 of the Florentines’ last 8 away league matches.
- The team have failed to win 8 of their previous 10 away games in the Serie A (2 draws, 6 defeats).
- ACF Fiorentina have conceded in their last 10 away matches in this competition.
Potential ACF Fiorentina Lineup (4-3-3)*
David De Gea – Fabiano Parisi, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Dodo – Marco Brescianini, Nicolo Fagioli, Albert Gudmundsson – Manor Solomon, Moise Kean, Rolando Mandragora.
Defender Tariq Lamptey and forward Albert Gudmundsson will miss out through injury. Midfielder Rolando Mandragora is suspended.
Referee
Luca Pairetto (Italy)
Matches – 8 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second cautions) – 46;
Yellow cards per match – 5.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 50%.
Udinese Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina: Match Prediction
Given the current condition of the two teams, there is a feeling this could be a cautious game. The hosts look unstable right now: a losing streak usually brings a loss of confidence, and with no real targets in the table it is harder to find extra motivation. That said, the home team should not be underestimated. This season they have already beaten Roma and Napoli, keeping clean sheets on both occasions, and they lost to Inter by the narrowest of margins. It is clear the team can pull themselves together and defend reliably. However, they have not been particularly convincing going forward: in only one of their last 9 home Serie A matches have they managed to score more than once.
As for the visitors, they head into the match with more positive momentum: the club have won their last two league games and have also progressed in the Conference League. It is also worth noting ACF Fiorentina’s first clean sheet in a long time. In attack, Paolo Vanoli’s men have been fairly consistent, but the upcoming fixture will surely be affected by fatigue from the extra European workload.
It is also worth noting that no more than 2 goals have been scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head meetings at Udinese Calcio’s ground in the Serie A. We believe the next match will not be high-scoring either.
Prediction: Under 3 goals
* For each team, the starting XI is taken from their previous match in this competition.
