The Matchday 4 clash in the Europe 2025/26 group stage between Sturm Graz (Austria) and Nottingham Forest (England) will take place on November 6 at the Graz-Liebenau Stadium. Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Sturm Graz
The Austrian side has had an inconsistent run in the Europa League group stage. At home, they secured a 2-1 victory over Rangers, but suffered away defeats to Midtjylland (0-2) and Celtic (1-2). Notably, Sturm has won only once in their last seven matches in this tournament (1 draw, 5 losses). Jurgen Seumel's team is currently 27th, trailing their nearest top-24 rival due to an inferior goal difference.
- The club has avoided defeat in 6 of their last 8 home Europa League matches (3 wins, 3 draws).
- Sturm has not conceded more than one goal in 7 of their last 9 home games in this European competition.
- The Austrians have lost the second half in their last 6 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Sturm Graz (4-4-2)*
Matteo Bignetti – Emanuel Aiwu, Emir Karic, Dimitri Lavalee, Tim Erman – Tomi Horvat, Otar Kiteishvili, Filip Rozga, Emir Karic – Tochi Chukwuani, Maurice Malone.
Midfielder Tochi Chukwuani is out due to suspension.
Nottingham Forest
Sean Dyche finally brought the club a long-awaited victory, albeit only in European competition. In the last round, the team hosted Porto and defeated them 2-0. Before that, the English side drew away with Betis (2-2) and unexpectedly lost at home to Midtjylland (2-3). Currently, Nottingham Forest is in the top-24, sitting 17th with 4 points.
- The club has only 1 win in their last 13 official matches (4 draws, 8 losses).
- Nottingham Forest has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 official matches.
- The English side is on a 7-match winless streak away from home at the official level (3 draws, 4 losses).
Predicted lineup for Nottingham Forest (3-4-3)*
Matz Sels – Murillo, Oleksandr Zinchenko, Nikola Milenkovic – Neco Williams, Elliot Anderson, Dan Ndoye, Douglas Luiz – Morgan Gibbs-White, Callum Hudson-Odoi, Igor Jesus.
Forward Igor Jesus is out due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Mykola Balakin (Ukraine)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 46;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
Sturm Graz vs. Nottingham Forest: Match Prediction
Sturm Graz is a fairly average team. Last season, they managed to excel in their domestic league, but this season they are only fourth. Interestingly, Jurgen Seumel's side is the worst in the Bundesliga when playing at home (1 win, 3 losses). Additionally, in the Europa League, the Austrians have just 1 win in their last 7 matches.
I believe that the English club, under Sean Dyche, will soon start climbing the Premier League table and advance further in the Europa League. Besides their first European victory over Porto, Nottingham Forest was close to defeating Manchester United this weekend, settling for a 2-2 draw. I predict the visitors will win in Austria, as even a Premier League outsider is noticeably stronger than one of the Austrian league leaders.
My prediction – Nottingham Forest to win
