The Bundesliga Matchday 21 clash between St. Pauli and Stuttgart will take place on february 7 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs Stuttgart: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
St. Pauli
After losing away to Augsburg in the previous round (1:2), the home side extended their winless run in the league to six matches (3 draws, 3 defeats). Even so, the team has scored in four of their last five Bundesliga games, but that has not helped them shake off the status of the lowest-scoring side this season. And without goals, it is difficult to pick up points. St. Pauli sit 17th in the standings, four points adrift of the relegation play-off spot.
- Both teams scored in 7 of the previous 9 Bundesliga games involving the home side.
- At home, the team have failed to win 6 of their last 7 league matches (2 draws, 4 defeats).
- In 6 of their previous 7 home matches in this competition, the club have not scored more than once.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj — Tomoya Ando, Karol Mets, Eric Smith — Arkadiusz Pyrka, Matias Rasmussen, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Danel Sinani — Manolis Saliakas, Ricky-Jade Jones.
Defender David Nemeth and forward Andrea Untontji are injured.
Stuttgart
In the last round, the away side edged past Freiburg shortly before the final whistle (1:0), recording a fourth win in their last five league matches (1 draw). It was also only the third time in the Bundesliga 2025/26 season that the team have kept back-to-back clean sheets. It is worth noting that among the sides in the European places—where Stuttgart sit fourth—only RB Leipzig have conceded more. However, for goals scored away from home (23), the club are second only to Bayern Munich (34).
- The team scored first in 5 of their last 7 league matches.
- Away from home in this competition, Stuttgart have avoided defeat in 6 of their previous 8 matches (5 wins, 1 draw).
- In 5 of their last 7 away Bundesliga games, the club have scored at least three times.
Potential Stuttgart Lineup (4-3-3)*
Alexander Nübel — Ramon Hendriks, Finn Jeltsch, Julian Chabot, Josha Vagnoman — Angelo Stiller, Atakan Karazor, Bilal El Khannous — Nicolas Nartey, Deniz Undav, Jamie Leweling.
Defenders Dan-Axel Zagadou and Luca Jaquez, as well as forward Tiago Tomás, will miss out through injury.
Referee
Benjamin Brand (Germany)
Matches — 9 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) — 31;
Yellow cards per match — 3.4;
Red cards shown — 0;
Fouls per match — 20;
Penalties — 22%.
St. Pauli vs Stuttgart: Match Prediction
Stuttgart have been rightly installed as favourites for this match. The team are unbeaten in seven consecutive league games (5 wins, 2 draws), failing to find a way past only Hoffenheim during that stretch, with their defence among the top three in terms of reliability. Away from home, Stuttgart are producing an attacking output that is high even by Bundesliga standards, scoring at least three goals in 5 of their previous 7 matches. Even high-profile opponents like Borussia Dortmund and Bayer Leverkusen have suffered.
It will be difficult for the home side to contain such an attack. At home in the Bundesliga 2025/26 season, St. Pauli have kept just one clean sheet. With numbers like that, it is understandably hard to produce positive results. Across their previous seven home league matches, the team have beaten only Heidenheim, who sit bottom of the standings (2 draws, 4 defeats). Yet even that opponent created chances worth 2.4 xG against the home side.
Prediction: Stuttgart double chance and over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from its previous match in this competition is listed.
