The Matchday 7 Bundesliga clash between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim will take place on October 19 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the last round, Alexander Blessin's side suffered a 0-1 away defeat to Werder Bremen. As a result, St. Pauli, who started the current championship with three unbeaten matches (2 wins, 1 draw), have now lost three consecutive Bundesliga games. Moreover, in half of their last ten league matches, the Hamburg team failed to score. In the standings, St. Pauli are in tenth place with seven points.
- The team has not won in 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of the club's last 11 home league matches.
- St. Pauli conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 6 of their last 7 home Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-5-2)
Nikola Vasilj – Hauke Wahl, Eric Smith, Lars Ritzka – Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Luis Oppie – Martijn Kaars, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Defender David Nemeth and forward Ricky-Jade Jones are out due to injuries.
Hoffenheim
Christian Ilzer's side were defeated 0-1 by Cologne at home in the last round. Consequently, Hoffenheim suffered their third defeat of the current Bundesliga season and failed to score for the first time in this campaign. However, it's worth noting that the club has earned all their seven points in this Bundesliga season on the road – with seven points, the team is in 11th place in the standings.
- The team has not lost in their last five away matches in the Bundesliga (2 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in Hoffenheim's last seven away league matches.
- Hoffenheim scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 away Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
Oliver Baumann – Bernardo, Albian Hajdari, Robin Granach, Vladimir Coufal – Basumana Toure, Wouter Burger, Leon Avdullahu, Muhammed Damar – Tim Lemperle, Fisnik Asllani.
Defenders Valentin Jandre and Koki Matida, as well as forward Adam Hlozek, are injured.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 18 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 22%.
St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim: Match Prediction
Last season, the Hamburg team wasn't very prolific in home matches, but in the current Bundesliga season, St. Pauli has shown progress in their attacking play, scoring six goals in three home matches. At the same time, the team cannot boast reliable defensive performances: in their last 16 home league matches, they've kept a clean sheet only twice.
Hoffenheim prefers an open style of play and even on the road, they do not deviate from their usual approach. In their last 12 away Bundesliga matches, the team failed to score only once, and in seven of those games, they broke through the opponents' defense at least twice. However, Hoffenheim makes too many fatal mistakes at the back: in their last eight away league matches, they have not kept a clean sheet, conceding at least two goals in five of those games.
I expect a high-scoring encounter between these opponents, and my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
