The Matchday 5 Bundesliga clash between St. Pauli and Bayer will take place on September 27 at the Millerntor Stadium in Hamburg. St. Pauli vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
St. Pauli
In the last round, Alexander Blessin's side fell short against Stuttgart on their turf (0-2). This defeat marked St. Pauli's first loss in the current championship, following two victories. Notably, the team has managed to keep a clean sheet only once in their last seven Bundesliga matches. In the standings, the Hamburg team is fifth with seven points.
- The club has not won in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the Bundesliga (4 draws, 4 losses).
- The team has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home league games.
- St. Pauli has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-5-2)
Nikola Vasil – Hauke Wahl, Manolis Saliakas, Adam Dzwigala – Eric Smith, James Sands, Danel Sinani, Joel Chima Fujita, Luis Oppie – Andrea Untondji, Mathias Pereira Lage.
Forward Ricky-Jade Jones will miss the game due to injury.
Bayer
Kasper Hjulmand's side unexpectedly dropped points in their last home match against Borussia Mönchengladbach, conceding a draw in injury time (1-1). As a result, Bayer failed to win for the sixth time in their last seven Bundesliga matches (4 draws, 2 losses). Nevertheless, the club extended their scoring streak in the league to nine games. With five points, the Leverkusen team is currently in 11th place in the standings.
- The team has drawn their last four away matches in the Bundesliga.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Bayer's last 7 away league matches.
- Leverkusen has scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 8 away Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (3-4-3)
Mark Flekken – Loic Bade, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba – Alex Grimaldo, Malik Tillman, Aleix Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Ibrahima Maza, Patrik Schick, Eliesse Ben Seghir.
Midfielder Exequiel Palacios will not play due to injury.
Referee
Martin Petersen (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 51;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 25%.
St. Pauli vs. Bayer: Match Prediction
After a promising start to the current championship, St. Pauli had no real chance against Stuttgart. Even on their home turf, I don't expect significant progress from the Hamburg side: they have only won twice in their last ten home Bundesliga matches. However, it's worth noting the team's high scoring potential: St. Pauli has scored five goals in two home matches in the current championship.
Bayer has not lost away in the Bundesliga for a long time – their current unbeaten away streak is 35 matches. Despite a challenging start, I believe the Leverkusen team is capable of picking up points again. Additionally, the team scores frequently on the road: in their last eight away league encounters, Bayer has scored, and only twice in this period did they score fewer than two goals.
I think the visitors will at least not lose, and I also expect several goals to be scored. My prediction: "X2 and Total Over 1.5"
* The starting lineup for each team is based on their last match in this tournament.
