The Matchday 30 clash in La Liga between Real Madrid and Valencia will take place on April 5 at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium. Real Madrid vs. Valencia: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Real Madrid
Carlo Ancelotti's side enters the upcoming match with a three-game winning streak in the league. During this stretch, they defeated Rayo Vallecano and Villarreal with identical 2-1 scorelines and narrowly overcame Leganes at home in the previous round (3-2). The club remains second in the standings, trailing leaders Barcelona by three points. Additionally, they lag significantly behind the Catalans in terms of goals scored in the league (20 goals fewer).
- Both teams have scored in 6 of Real Madrid's last 7 La Liga games.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of Madrid's last 9 league matches.
- The team has opened the scoring in 5 of their last 6 La Liga matches.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-3-3)
Andriy Lunin – Raul Asensio, Antonio Rudiger, Fran Garcia, Lucas Vazquez – Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Jude Bellingham – Brahim Diaz, Arda Guler, Kylian Mbappe.
Defenders Ferland Mendy, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal, as well as midfielder Dani Ceballos, are sidelined due to injuries. Both goalkeepers Andriy Lunin and Thibaut Courtois may miss the match due to muscle issues.
Valencia
Valencia has been in good form, remaining unbeaten in four consecutive league matches. In this series, they drew away with Osasuna (3-3) and Girona (1-1), and secured home victories against Valladolid (2-1) and Mallorca (1-0). Thanks to their successful performances last month, the club has climbed to 15th place, moving four points clear of the relegation zone.
- Valencia has suffered only one defeat in their last eight La Liga games (4 wins and 3 draws).
- No more than three goals have been scored in 7 of the club's last 8 league matches.
- In their last six away league games, Valencia has drawn five times (1 defeat).
Predicted lineup for Valencia (4-3-3)
Giorgi Mamardashvili – Cesar Tárrega, Jose Luis Gaya, Dimitri Foulquier, Cristhian Mosquera – Javi Guerra, Enzo Barrenechea, Andre Almeida – Diego Lopez, Luis Rioja, Umar Sadiq.
Due to an accumulation of yellow cards, defenders Jose Luis Gaya and Dimitri Foulquier, as well as forward Luis Rioja, are unavailable.
Referee
Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)
Matches – 15 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 69;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.6;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Real Madrid vs. Valencia
With nine rounds remaining in La Liga, Madrid must avoid dropping points if they hope to win the championship. They also need Barcelona, who currently leads Real by three points, to slip up. Valencia is not expected to pose a significant challenge for Carlo Ancelotti's side this season. The team is fighting for survival in La Liga and has not won in 17 consecutive away league matches (8 draws and 9 losses).
Additionally, Valencia has struggled against top clubs: in the current La Liga season, they were heavily defeated away by Atletico (0-3) and Barcelona (1-7). Moreover, head-to-head statistics clearly favor the hosts: in the last six meetings at the Santiago Bernabeu, Madrid not only won but did so by at least a two-goal margin.
Therefore, my prediction is Real Madrid with a handicap (-1.5).
