The La Liga Matchday 28 fixture between Real Madrid and Elche will take place on 14 March at the Santiago Bernabeu. Real Madrid vs Elche: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Real Madrid
A week ago, the club secured a crucial away win over Celta Vigo thanks to a decisive 94th-minute goal (2:1). That allowed Real Madrid to avoid a third straight setback in the La Liga. Before that, the home side suffered surprise defeats to Osasuna (1:2) and Getafe (0:1), which is why they sit second in the standings and trail leaders Barcelona by four points. It is also worth noting that the team have failed to keep a clean sheet in four straight La Liga matches, yet Real Madrid remain the most reliable club in the competition defensively - they have conceded 23 goals in total this season. If we look at overall goals scored (56), only Barcelona are ahead (72).
- Real Madrid have scored in 10 of their last 11 Spanish league games.
- The club's all-or-nothing run in this competition has stretched to 13 matches (10 wins, 3 losses).
- Real Madrid have scored at least two goals in 10 of their last 12 home matches in the La Liga.
Potential Real Madrid Lineup (4-4-2)*
Thibaut Courtois - Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rudiger, Raul Asencio, Ferland Mendy - Aurelien Tchouameni, Thiago Pitarch, Arda Guler, Federico Valverde - Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior.
The suspensions of defenders Dean Huijsen and Alvaro Carreras have ended, while forward Franco Mastantuono continues to serve a ban. Due to injuries, forwards Rodrygo and Kylian Mbappe, midfielders Jude Bellingham and Dani Ceballos, and defenders Ferland Mendy, Alvaro Carreras, David Alaba and Eder Militao will miss the game.
Elche
The team's prolonged rough spell still has not ended. Following defeat in their last away match against Villarreal, Elche's winless run in the La Liga has reached 10 matches, during which they have picked up only four points. It is also worth adding that both teams scored in nine of those 10 games. Overall, the visitors have scored in 12 of their last 13 league fixtures, and since the start of the season Elche have 35 goals - the best figure among teams in the bottom half of the table, level with Sevilla. Nevertheless, their last victory in the La Liga came back in 2025. As a result, the club are 16th in the standings, just one point above the relegation zone.
- Both teams have scored in Elche's last six away matches in the La Liga.
- The club have failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 consecutive away games in this competition.
- Seven of the team's last eight Spanish league matches have gone over the total.
Potential Elche Lineup (3-5-2)*
Matias Dituro - Victor Chust, Leo Petro, David Affengruber - German Valera, Buba Sangare, Grady Diangana, Marc Aguado, Aleix Febas - Rafa Mir, Alvaro Rodriguez.
Midfielder Iago Santiago has served his suspension. Defender Hector Fort is unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Jesus Gil (Spain)
Matches - 14 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) - 61;
Yellow cards per match on average - 4.3;
Red cards shown - 6;
Fouls per match on average - 23;
Penalties - 29%.
Real Madrid vs Elche: Match Prediction
Real Madrid are going through a far-from-easy spell of the season. After two straight La Liga defeats, the club nearly dropped more points away at Celta Vigo (2:1). Even looking back over the past few months, the home side have not been picking up truly comfortable wins all that often. For instance, across the last eight league rounds, the team have won by a large margin only once. Even at home, Real Madrid have recorded just two emphatic victories in their last seven matches in this competition.
Elche have been unable to win in the La Liga for a long time, but it is probably still too early to talk about a full-blown crisis. The away side try to fight for points in every match, regardless of the status and strength of the opponent. Thanks to their resilience, the team have not suffered a single heavy defeat since returning to the La Liga. Moreover, in seven of their last nine league matches, Elche have not lost by more than one goal.
The outcome could also be influenced by the fact that Real Madrid had to expend energy in the Champions League match in midweek.
Prediction: Elche (+2)
* For each team, the starting lineup from their previous match in this competition is shown.
