The Bundesliga round 20 match between Leipzig and Mainz will take place on january 31 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs Mainz: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leipzig
In the rescheduled round 16 match, Ole Werner’s side shared the points away to St. Pauli (1:1). It was the team’s first draw in their previous seven league games (three wins, three defeats). It is worth noting that Leipzig found the net even in the matches they lost during this run. Overall, the club have scored 37 goals — only four opponents have a better tally. In the league standings, the team sit fourth on 36 points.
- Goals were scored in both halves in six of Leipzig’s previous eight home Bundesliga matches.
- On home soil in this competition, the club have won seven of their last nine matches (two defeats).
- At home, the team have scored at least twice in nine of their previous 11 league games.
Potential Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Péter Gulácsi – David Raum, El Chadaille Bitshiabu, Willi Orbán, Ridle Baku – Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald – Romulo, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, defender Castello Lukeba and midfielder Assan Ouédraogo are injured. Midfielder Christoph Baumgartner will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Mainz
Last round’s win over Wolfsburg (3:1) was only the team’s second victory in their last 15 league matches (five draws, eight defeats). At the same time, Mainz have scored in four straight games in the competition, posting their longest scoring run in the 2025/26 Bundesliga. However, the squad coached by Urs Fischer are conceding plenty: the club have just one clean sheet. The team have moved up the table into the relegation play-off spot, and the gap to safety in 15th is three points.
- Both teams scored in five of the team’s previous six league matches.
- Away from home, Mainz are without a win in seven Bundesliga matches (two draws, five defeats).
- The club have conceded at least two goals in six of their last seven away matches in this competition.
Potential Mainz Lineup (3-5-2)*
Daniel Batz – Stefan Posch, Dominik Kohr, Stefan Bell – Silvan Widmer, Danny da Costa, Lee Jae-sung, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel – Benedikt Hollerbach, Phillip Tietz.
Goalkeeper Robin Zentner, as well as defender Anton Kaci, will miss the match due to injuries. Defender Dominik Kohr is suspended.
Referee
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Matches – 9 (the Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 30;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Fouls per match on average – 21;
Penalties – 11%.
Leipzig vs Mainz: Match Prediction
Ole Werner’s side have played their last two matches away from home, taking four points from six. That is a decent return, and Leipzig look even stronger on their own turf. In this league campaign, the team have won seven of nine home games, losing only to the champions of the last two seasons. And only against Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen did the club score fewer than two goals. In terms of home scoring, Leipzig are actually second only to the Munich side.
Mainz have lost just one of their previous six Bundesliga matches, but the fixture list has been kind to Urs Fischer’s team. The only serious opponent in that spell was Bayern Munich, while the rest came from the bottom half of the standings. Getting a positive result against Leipzig, who are in the Champions League places, will be tough — especially away from home, where the club have lost six of their last seven league games, conceding fewer than one goal only once.
Prediction: Leipzig win or draw + Over 2.5 goals
* For each team, the starting lineup from its previous match in this competition is listed.
