The Matchday 26 Bundesliga clash between Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund will take place on March 15 at the Red Bull Arena. Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leipzig
Marco Rose's side shared the spoils with Freiburg in a goalless draw away from home in the last round. This draw marked their sixth in the last eight league matches (1 win, 1 loss). Notably, the team failed to score in four of those games, and among the top half of the table, only Freiburg has fewer goals. Despite this challenging period, Leipzig remains in the European competition zone, though their lead over the nearest chaser is just one point.
- Marco Rose's team has not lost in 5 of their last 6 home matches in the Bundesliga (3 wins, 2 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Leipzig's last 7 home games in this tournament.
- Leipzig has beaten Dortmund in 5 of their last 7 league encounters (2 losses).
Predicted lineup for Leipzig (3-4-3)
Peter Gulacsi – Lutsharel Geertruida, Willi Orban, El Chadaille Bitshiabu – Kevin Kampl, David Raum, Bote Baku, Arthur Vermeeren – Xavi Simons, Lois Openda, Benjamin Sesko.
Midfielder Xaver Schlager and forward Antonio Nusa are unavailable due to injuries. Defender Benjamin Henrichs is out for the season.
Borussia Dortmund
Dortmund suffered a 0-1 defeat at home to Augsburg in the last round. This marked their 10th loss of the season (10 wins, 5 draws). The last time Borussia had more losses was in the 2014/15 season with 14, but that was over 34 matches. Currently, their results keep them in the lower half of the table, although they are just four points away from the European zone.
- The team has not drawn in their last 6 away matches in the Bundesliga (3 wins, 3 losses).
- Dortmund has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 away league games.
- The club has scored against Leipzig in 15 of their last 16 encounters in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Ramy Bensebaini, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Yan Couto – Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Salih Ozcan, Karim Adeyemi – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Felix Nmecha and defender Daniel Svensson are injured.
Leipzig vs. Borussia Dortmund: Match Prediction
Both teams are not in their best form. However, Marco Rose's side is more consistent in picking up points compared to Dortmund. After the winter break, Leipzig has avoided defeat in 8 of 10 league matches, while Borussia has only managed three wins in the same period. Furthermore, away from home, Niko Kovac's team has been less convincing, failing to win in 9 of 12 Bundesliga 2024/25 matches (2 draws, 7 losses). Leipzig, having defeated Dortmund in three consecutive home encounters in this tournament, can expect another positive result.
Leipzig's attacking prowess at home is noteworthy: the team has scored in 7 consecutive league matches, with at least two goals in 5 of them. However, they have kept a clean sheet only once in this period. Dortmund's defense is not particularly reliable either. In their last 11 away league matches, Borussia has managed to shut out only St. Pauli – the lowest-scoring team in the tournament.
My prediction: Leipzig not to lose and Total over 1.5 goals
