The matchday 23 La Liga fixture between Rayo Vallecano and Real Oviedo will take place on 4 March at Campo de Vallecas in Madrid. Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Rayo Vallecano
Last weekend, Rayo Vallecano shared the points with Athletic Bilbao (1:1). Prior to that, the home team collected four points from games against Real Betis (1:1) and Atletico Madrid (3:0), meaning their unbeaten run in La Liga has reached three matches. That spell helped them climb out of the relegation zone quickly; the club now sit 15th in the table, three points clear of the bottom three. And that is with a game in hand. It is also worth noting that Rayo Vallecano have scored 23 goals in La Liga this season, with only Getafe (21) and Real Oviedo (16) netting fewer overall.
- The club have avoided defeat in eight of their last nine home league matches (3 wins, 5 draws).
- The hosts’ scoring run in this competition has lasted five games.
- Both teams have scored in six of Rayo Vallecano’s last eight La Liga matches.
Potential Rayo Vallecano Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Augusto Batalla – Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino – Pate Ciss, Gerard Gumbau – Isi Palason, Ilias Akhomach, Alvaro Garcia – Jorge De Frutos.
Real Oviedo
Their most recent league match against Atletico Madrid ended in a painful 0:1 defeat. Real Oviedo competed on almost equal terms throughout, but ultimately conceded the only goal in the 94th minute. As a result, the away side’s winless run in La Liga has now stretched to three matches (1 draw, 2 defeats), and overall the visitors have managed just one win across the last 18 La Liga rounds. The club remain bottom of the standings, with the gap to safety in 17th now increasing to nine points.
- In away matches this La Liga season, the team have collected six points in total; only Mallorca (5) and Elche (4) have a worse record by that metric.
- At least two goals have been scored in each of the Asturians’ last six away matches in this competition.
- Real Oviedo’s winless away run in the Spanish league stands at eight matches (3 draws, 5 defeats).
Potential Real Oviedo Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Aaron Escandel – Javi Lopez, Dani Calvo, David Carmo, Nacho Vidal – Nicolas Fonseca, Kwasi Sibo – Hassem Hassan, Ilyas Chaira, Alberto Reina – Federico Vinas.
Defenders Eric Bailly and David Costas, as well as midfielders Leander Dendoncker and Ovie Ejaria, are unavailable due to injury.
Referee
Alejandro Jose Hernandez Hernandez (Spain)
Matches – 13 (La Liga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 57;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 38%.
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Oviedo: Match Prediction
Rayo Vallecano have improved their situation in the league to some extent, but the overall picture remains difficult. Their cushion over 18th place is only three points, so they could find themselves back in the relegation zone at any moment. The home side are battling hard for survival, but at the moment they lack wins. The club have triumphed in only two of their last 15 La Liga matches. Rayo Vallecano usually raise their level with the backing of the crowd, yet even on their own patch they have collected three points in only two of the last eight games in this competition.
Real Oviedo are still 20th in the table, so if they are to avoid relegation the visitors must fight for points in absolutely every match. The away side have not lost heart and are putting in maximum effort. Even if they do not always manage to pick up points, the intrigue usually remains until the final minutes, even in defeats. Across the last nine La Liga games, the team have lost by a margin of two goals or more only once, and that came away to leaders Barcelona (0:3).
Prediction: Real Oviedo (+1)
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
