Matchday 5 of the 2024/25 Europa League group stage sees Qarabag (Azerbaijan) take on Lyon (France) on November 28 at the Tofiq Bahramov Republican Stadium in Baku. Qarabag vs. Lyon: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Predicted lineups for Qarabag vs. Lyon
Qarabag (4-5-1): Mateusz Kochalski – Abbas Huseynov, Badavi Huseynov, Kevin Medina, Toral Bayramov – Patrick Andrade, Marko Jankovic, Aleksey Kashchuk, Abdellah Zoubir, Emmanuel Adjei – Juninho.
Lyon (4-3-3): Remy Deschamps – Sael Kumbedi, Clinton Mata, Duje Caleta-Car, Abner – Tanner Tessmann, Warmed Omari, Maxence Caqueret – Said Benrahma, Georges Mikautadze, Gift Orban.
Each team's lineup is based on their previous match in this tournament.
Qarabag
The Azerbaijani side ended a four-match losing streak in the Europa League by unexpectedly defeating Bodo/Glimt 2-1 away in their last outing. This victory lifted Qarabag off the bottom of the group stage standings, moving them up to 29th place. However, the team has yet to keep a clean sheet in this competition, conceding in 12 consecutive matches. Qarabag's goal difference in this season's Europa League is 3:9.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in Qarabag's last six Europa League matches.
- The team has not won at home in four consecutive matches in this tournament (1 draw, 3 losses), conceding at least twice in each of these games.
- The club has not scored more than once in regular time in six of their last eight home matches in the Europa League.
Lyon
Lyon played to a draw for the first time in the group stage, sharing the spoils with Hoffenheim 2-2 in their last match. Before that, the team had two wins and one loss in the Europa League. These results place Lyon 9th in the group stage standings, five points behind the leader. Notably, the French side has scored twice as many goals as they have conceded (8:4). Additionally, Lyon has scored in each of their last nine away matches in the Europa League.
- The team has not lost in 12 of their last 14 Europa League matches, recording eight victories.
- Lyon's unbeaten away streak in the Europa League stands at nine matches (7 wins, 2 draws).
- Both teams have scored in five of Lyon's last six away Europa League matches.
Qarabag vs. Lyon: Match Prediction
The club from Aghdam pulled off a sensational victory over Bodo/Glimt in the last round, handing the Norwegians their first defeat in the group stage of the Europa League. However, Qarabag's defense remains a concern. Against a high-scoring opponent like Lyon, it's unlikely that the hosts will end their streak of conceding goals in the Europa League.
Lyon is tied for fourth place among the highest-scoring teams in the Europa League group stage, having scored eight times. The French club has found the net in each of their last nine away matches in this competition. In the current Europa League season, Lyon has scored at least two goals in both of their away games. Qarabag, on the other hand, has conceded at least twice in seven of their last eight Europa League matches.
Therefore, I believe the attacking visitors will score at least twice. My prediction: Lyon Individual Total Over 1.5