The matchday 23 Ligue 1 fixture between Paris Saint-Germain and Metz will take place on 21 February at Parc des Princes in Paris. Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Paris Saint-Germain
Last round was a disappointment for Paris Saint-Germain – the hosts suffered a surprise away defeat to Rennes, who had sacked their head coach beforehand (1:3). As a result, top spot has been lost again, with Lens now one point clear. In addition, a seven-match winning run in Ligue 1 came to an end. It was also the first time since April last year that the club had conceded more than two goals in the league. The team still lead Ligue 1 only in terms of goals scored – 49.
- In their previous 17 Ligue 1 matches, Paris Saint-Germain have suffered just two defeats (12 wins and three draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in seven of the last eight Paris Saint-Germain league games.
- The home side are on a six-match winning run at home in Ligue 1.
Potential Paris Saint-Germain Lineup (4-3-3)*
Matvey Safonov – Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes – Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele.
Midfielders Fabian Ruiz and Senny Mayulu are doubts due to injuries. Midfielder Quentin Ndjantu and forward Ousmane Dembele will miss out through injury.
Metz
The visitors played their last two league games at home, but failed to make the most of the backing from their supporters. They first managed a draw against a strong Lille (0:0), before suffering a surprise defeat to Auxerre (1:3), a side they sit alongside near the bottom of the standings. As a result, Metz have extended their winless run in the league to 10 matches, drawing twice and losing eight. The club still sit bottom, and they also remain the worst defensive side in the division – 49 goals conceded.
- The team have scored in six of their last eight Ligue 1 matches.
- Metz have lost 11 of their last 13 away games in the league.
- Both teams to score has landed in four of the club's last five away Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Metz Lineup (4-5-1)*
Jonathan Fischer – Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Fode Ballo-Toure, Urie-Michel Mboula – Beliv Munongo, Jessi Demenge, Gauthier Hein, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Giorgi Abuashvili – Habib Diallo.
Forward Joseph Mangondo, midfielder Benjamin Stambouli and goalkeeper Pape Sy are sidelined through injury.
Referee
Abdelatif Kherradji (France)
Matches – 8 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 34;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 63%.
Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz: Match Prediction
Paris Saint-Germain are back in the chasing role again, and once more need to catch Lens, who do not want to give up in the battle for the league title. The defeat to Rennes exposed the home side's defensive issues once again. Those shortcomings will have to be compensated for by strong attacking play. Paris Saint-Germain are targeting not only three points in this match, but also at least three goals. After all, the opposition are clearly weak and concede more than anyone else in the league.
In the last five home Ligue 1 games, Paris Saint-Germain have scored three or more goals on four occasions. In the other match, they managed two. Interestingly, in their last two home league fixtures, Paris Saint-Germain faced sides from the top five and scored eight unanswered goals against them. Metz, with the worst defence in the competition, are certain to concede at least three. Moreover, the club have lost 11 of their last 13 away matches in Ligue 1, and during that run they conceded three or more goals seven times. Also, in the last six head-to-head meetings in the league at Parc des Princes, Paris Saint-Germain not only won, but scored at least three goals on five occasions.
Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain, over 3 goals
* For each team, the starting line-up from their previous match in this competition is listed.
