The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League playoff between PSG (France) and Brest (France) will take place on February 19 at the Parc des Princes Stadium in Paris. The score of the first match was 3-0 in favor of PSG. PSG vs. Brest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
PSG
The Parisians faced little resistance in the first match and confidently defeated Brest (3-0). In the return game, the team can afford to lose by two goals. By defeating their fellow countrymen, PSG extended their winning streak in the Champions League to four matches. Notably, Luis Enrique's side has scored at least three goals in each of these games. Additionally, the French club has consistently reached the round of 16 in this European competition for the past 12 seasons.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 9 of PSG's last 11 games in this tournament.
- In the last six home matches in the Champions League, the Parisians have only won by a margin of two or more goals once.
- The team has not won the first half in their last eight home matches in this European competition (5 draws and 3 losses).
Predicted lineup for PSG (3-4-3)
Gianluigi Donnarumma – Nuno Mendes, William Pacho, Marquinhos – Fabian Ruiz, Vitor Ferreira, Joao Neves, Desire Doue – Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele.
Midfielder Warren Zaire-Emery is sidelined due to injury.
Brest
Eric Roy's side could not counter PSG in the first game. This marks their second consecutive home defeat by a score of 0-3 in the Champions League, as well as their third straight loss without scoring in this tournament. The club will advance in the Champions League if they defeat their illustrious opponent by four or more goals. If the return match ends in a sensational three-goal win for Brest, extra time will be played.
- In the last nine matches of the club in the Champions League, there was only one draw (4 wins and 4 losses).
- At least one team failed to score in Brest's last five games in this European competition.
- No more than three goals have been scored in the club's last seven meetings in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Brest (4-3-3)
Marco Bizot – Soumaila Coulibaly, Edimilson Fernandes, Brendan Chardonnet, Kenny Lala – Hugo Magnetti, Pierre Lees-Melou, Mahdi Camara – Abdallah Sima, Kamory Doumbia, Ludovic Ajorque.
In the club's infirmary are forward Ibrahim Salah, defender Bradley Locko, and midfielder Romain Del Castillo.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 10 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 39;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 40%.
Match Prediction: PSG vs. Brest
There was no upset in the first match. Eric Roy's side is currently unable to compete on equal terms with Europe's top clubs. This was evident in the group stage, where the team suffered heavy defeats against two Spanish giants – Real Madrid and Barcelona.
I am confident that the return leg will also be dominated by the Parisians, and we can expect another comprehensive victory for the capital club. The official head-to-head statistics of these French clubs are telling: in the last 19 meetings, PSG has won 18 times, with only one draw.
It is also worth noting that in the last 17 official encounters, PSG has won by a margin of two or more goals 12 times. The hosts of the upcoming match have no need to win by a large margin, but the difference in class is so significant that the Parisians are likely to defeat Brest confidently once again.
My prediction – PSG with a handicap (-2)
