The Matchday 38 clash in Serie A between Napoli and Cagliari will take place on May 23 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Cagliari: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side dropped points in their last away match against Parma (0-0). Nevertheless, Napoli extended their unbeaten run in the league to 11 matches (6 wins, 5 draws). Moreover, the team kept a clean sheet for the fifth time in their last six Serie A matches. The Neapolitans remain at the top of the league table with 79 points, maintaining a one-point lead over second-placed Inter. If Napoli loses this round and Inter draws, there will be a playoff match for the championship. Notably, Napoli has conceded only 27 goals this season, the best record in the league.
- The club has not lost in their last ten home matches in Serie A (7 wins, 3 draws).
- Both teams scored in 6 of Napoli's last 8 home league matches.
- The Neapolitans have scored at least two goals in their last five home Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Giacomo Raspadori, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Billy Gilmour, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku.
Defender Juan Jesus will miss the match due to injury. Head coach Antonio Conte is also suspended for this game.
Cagliari
Davide Nicola's side confidently defeated Venezia 3-0 at home in the last round. This was only Cagliari's second win in their last seven league matches (1 draw, 4 losses). Additionally, the club recorded their third big win in Serie A in 2025. The Sardinians have secured their place in the top Italian division, amassing 36 points and moving five points clear of the relegation zone.
- The team has not won in 8 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (3 draws, 5 losses).
- Cagliari has not conceded more than two goals in 9 of their last 11 away league matches.
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in 9 of Cagliari's last 11 away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Cagliari (3-5-2)
Elia Caprile – Sebastiano Luperto, Yerry Mina, Gabriele Zappa – Michel Adopo, Nadir Zortea, Antoine Makoumbou, Tommaso Augello, Alessandro Deiola – Zito Luvumbo, Roberto Piccoli.
First-choice goalkeeper Elia Caprile and forward Zito Luvumbo will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Federico La Penna (Italy)
Matches – 13 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 59;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 38%.
Napoli vs. Cagliari: Match Prediction
The Neapolitans are on the brink of clinching the championship. They need a win, and they have excellent chances to achieve this on home turf – Antonio Conte's side has won 4 of their last 5 home Serie A matches. However, Napoli does not boast high scoring: in their last 14 home league matches, they have not scored more than two goals. Even against opponents like Lecce, Verona, Venezia, and Udinese, the Neapolitans have scored a maximum of two goals.
Cagliari has already resolved their issues and lacks tournament motivation. Additionally, the Sardinians have suffered five defeats in their last eight away Serie A matches. Scoring away goals has been challenging for Davide Nicola's side: in 8 of their last 9 league matches, the team has scored a maximum of one goal. Meanwhile, they have conceded more than two goals only twice in their last 11 away Serie A matches.
I believe the Neapolitans will achieve their goal, but the match is unlikely to be high-scoring. My prediction: Home win and Total under 3.5 goals
