The Serie A matchday 26 clash between Milan and Parma will take place on 22 February at San Siro. Milan vs Parma: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Milan
Massimiliano Allegri's men drew 1:1 at home with Como in their last match. The home team dropped points, but their unbeaten run in the league reached 24 matches (15 wins, 9 draws). It is worth noting, however, that Milan have failed to keep a clean sheet in five of their last seven games in this competition. Even so, the club remain in the top three in the league for defensive reliability. In the main standings, Milan sit second, but the gap to leaders Inter has grown to seven points.
- Both teams scored in five of the team's last seven Serie A matches.
- On home soil in this competition, Milan are unbeaten in 10 matches (7 wins, 3 draws).
- The club scored first in five of their last seven home league games.
Potential Milan Lineup (3-5-2)*
Mike Maignan – Koni De Winter, Fikayo Tomori, Strahinja Pavlovic – Davide Bartesaghi, Luka Modric, Samuele Ricci, Zachary Athekame, Ardon Jashari – Christopher Nkunku, Rafael Leao.
Forward Santiago Gimenez will miss the match through injury.
Parma
After a four-match winless run in the league (2 draws, 2 defeats), Parma picked up two victories, beating Bologna 1:0 and Parma 2:1. It should be noted that this is the first time this season that Carlos Cuesta's side have won back-to-back matches. Parma have also scored in three straight games, which is the club's second-longest scoring run in the competition. However, that still has not been enough to shake off the status of one of the lowest-scoring teams in the league. In the main standings, the club are 12th.
- Parma have conceded more than one goal in only two of their last seven league matches.
- Away from home, the team have avoided defeat in six of their last seven Serie A games (4 wins, 2 draws).
- The club scored in six of their last eight away matches in this competition.
Potential Parma Lineup (3-5-2)*
Edoardo Corvi – Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Enrico Del Prato – Emanuele Valeri, Oliver Sorensen, Mandela Keita, Adrian Bernabe, Sacha Bittchgi – Mateo Pellegrino, Gabriel Strefezza.
Defender Abdoulaye Ndiaye, forwards Pontus Almqvist and Matija Frigan, as well as midfielder Nahuel Estevez and goalkeeper Zion Suzuki are injured. Defender Alessandro Circati is suspended.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 5 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 28;
Penalties – 40%.
Milan vs Parma: Match Prediction
Massimiliano Allegri's side have been consistent throughout the season. The home team typically drop points against strong opponents. There are usually no problems against teams of a lower class, but we have not seen many truly convincing Milan wins in this league campaign. On home soil, the club have only thrashed Verona, who are rooted to the bottom of the table; in all other cases, the hosts have won by the narrowest of margins.
Parma are in decent form: in their last seven Serie A games, the visitors have lost only to Juventus and Atalanta (3 wins, 2 draws). Moreover, the defeat to the side from Bergamo is their only one in the last seven away league matches. Yes, in that game Carlos Cuesta's men collapsed defensively, but there have been very few such poor episodes for the club this season.
Parma rarely manage to take points against Milan, but these matches are never a walk in the park for their formidable opponents. The away side have failed to beat the hosts in eight of the last nine Serie A head-to-head meetings (3 draws, 5 defeats), but on three occasions they lost by exactly one goal.
Prediction: Parma (+1.5)
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is shown.
