The Matchday 16 Ligue 1 clash between Metz and PSG will take place on December 13 at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Metz – PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Metz
The defeat to Auxerre last round (1-3) was Metz's third consecutive loss in the league. Interestingly, this is the third time this season that Metz have suffered a three-game losing run. Overall, Stéphane Le Mignan's side have lost 10 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), becoming the first club to reach double-digit defeats. Unsurprisingly, the club sit at the foot of the table, although they are only four points from the safety of 15th place. They also have the worst defensive record in the league, having conceded 34 goals.
- Metz have scored in 6 of their last 7 Ligue 1 games.
- They have failed to win at home in 8 of their last 10 league matches (2 draws, 6 losses).
- In 6 of their last 7 home matches in this competition the team have not conceded more than one goal.
Predicted Metz lineup (4-3-3)
Jonathan Fisher – Fode Ballo-Toure, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Maxime Colin, Ibu Sane – Bubacar Traore, Gauthier En, Jessy Demenge – Georgy Tsitaishvili, Sheikh Sabaly, Yoel Asoro.
Forwards Joseph Mangondo and goalkeeper Pape Si are out injured.
PSG
The home meeting with Rennes last round was an easy afternoon for Paris. After a 5-0 rout, Luis Enrique's side have won four of their last five league matches (one defeat), and that victory was their biggest of the season. PSG kept a clean sheet for the eighth match, sharing the league best in that regard with Lyon. Five goals helped Paris move up to second in terms of goals scored (32), which is also their position in the table.
- PSG opened the scoring in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
- The club have conceded in 6 of their last 7 away games in this competition.
- No more than three goals were scored in 5 of PSG's last 6 away league matches.
Predicted PSG lineup (4-3-3)
Matvei Safonov – Marquinhos, Lucas Hernandez, William Pacho, Warren Zaire-Emery – Joao Neves, Vitinha, Senni Meyulu – Lee Kang-in, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Bradley Barcola.
Out injured: goalkeeper, defenders Achraf Hakimi, Marquinhos and forward Ousmane Dembele.
Referee
Romain Lissorg (France)
Matches – 6 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 32;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 29;
Penalties – 17%.
Prediction for Metz vs PSG
Metz supporters nostalgically recall a recent run of three consecutive wins, but that burst of form has been followed by a longer slide, and last weekend the side even lost to a fellow relegation candidate. Metz have struggled defensively all season and sit bottom of the league by expected goals against (xGA) as well as by actual goals conceded. History also isn’t on their side: Metz have lost each of the last 14 head-to-head Ligue 1 meetings with PSG. Against the run of results, the visitor is heavily favoured.
PSG, coming off a big win over a team in Europe places, will be determined to reclaim top spot and are unlikely to show mercy to a relegation-threatened opponent. Given the gulf in quality and Metz’s defensive issues, another high-scoring victory for Paris is a realistic outcome.
My prediction – PSG to win and Over 2.5 goals
* The starting lineup shown for each team is the one used in their previous match in this competition.
