The Matchday 5 clash in Ligue 1 between Marseille and PSG will take place on September 22 at the Velodrome Stadium. Marseille vs. PSG: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Marseille
At the start of this season's championship, Marseille has struggled with consistency, alternating between significant victories over lower-table teams and narrow defeats to clubs in the top six. Last week, Roberto De Zerbi's side thrashed Lorient, partially improving their league position by climbing to 7th place in Ligue 1. This extended Marseille's home winning streak in the championship to six matches, with the team scoring at least three goals in each of these games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Marseille's last 6 home games in Ligue 1.
- The club's uncompromising series in this tournament has lasted 6 matches (4 wins, 2 losses).
- Marseille won with a handicap (+1.5) in 14 of their previous home matches in the championship.
Predicted lineup for Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Jeffrey de Lange – Amir Murillo, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Facundo Medina – Angel Gomes, Geoffrey Kondogbia – Mason Greenwood, Bilal Nadir, Timothy Weah – Amine Gouiri.
Defender C.J. Egan-Riley has served his suspension, while another defender, Nayef Aguerd, might miss the game due to a concussion.
PSG
PSG remains the only team yet to drop a point in this season's Ligue 1. In the last round, they comfortably defeated Lens (2-0), securing their sixth consecutive victory in the championship and becoming the sole leader of the table. Luis Enrique's side has now extended their scoring streak in Ligue 1 to 24 matches. Meanwhile, they have conceded just three goals this season, sharing the best defensive record with four other clubs.
- PSG has not lost in 42 of their last 43 away league matches (33 wins, 9 draws).
- Both teams scored in 12 of the club's last 16 Ligue 1 games.
- PSG has scored at least one goal in their last 12 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Achraf Hakimi, Illya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Lee Kang-In, Vitinha, Warren Zaire-Emery – Bradley Barcola, Goncalo Ramos, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.
Key forwards Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola, and Desire Doue are unavailable due to injury. Midfielder Joao Neves will also miss the game for the same reason.
Referee
Jerome Brisard (France)
Matches – 20 (Ligue 1, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 79;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 7;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 40%.
Match Prediction: Marseille vs. PSG
Marseille has won both of their home matches in this season's Ligue 1, scoring a total of nine goals under Roberto De Zerbi. Their home winning streak in the championship has reached six matches. However, in the derby against PSG, the Velodrome's home advantage has not been much help for years. Marseille has failed to defeat their arch-rivals in 12 consecutive home league encounters, losing nine of these matches and failing to score in the last six.
PSG has not dropped points in this season's championship. Notably, they have won 10 of their last 12 away games in Ligue 1, with at least three goals scored in nine of these matches. Considering head-to-head encounters, at least three goals have been scored in 5 of the last 7 meetings, with PSG winning all seven.
After their Champions League debut, Marseille will have an extra day of rest, but they traveled to Spain, while PSG played at home, putting the teams on roughly equal terms. In all other aspects, the advantage lies with the visitors. Prediction – PSG to win and Total Over 2.5
