The match of the 7th round of the main stage of the Champions League 2025/26 between Olympique Marseille (France) and Liverpool (England) will take place on 21 january at Stade Vélodrome. Olympique Marseille vs Liverpool: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Olympique Marseille
Olympique Marseille secured an important away victory over Union in the previous match (3:2). Before that, the club also beat Newcastle at home (2:1). Note that Marseille last won two consecutive Champions League matches in October 2022. Thanks to that run, the club moved into the top 24 and occupied 16th place. If the team wins this game, it will very likely guarantee progression to the playoffs. Also note an interesting fact – if Olympique Marseille wins the upcoming match, it will have a series of three victories in this European competition for the first time since the 2010/11 season.
- The club's uncompromising run in the Champions League already stands at 32 games – 9 wins and 23 defeats.
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of Olympique Marseille's previous 7 matches in this tournament.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Olympique Marseille's last 7 Champions League matches.
Potential Olympique Marseille Lineup (3-4-2-1)
Olympique Marseille – Geronimo Rulli – C.J. Egan-Riley, Facundo Medina, Benjamin Pavard – Bilal Nadir, Arthur Vermeeren, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Timothy Weah – Igor Paixao, Mason Greenwood – Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
The participation of defender Nayef Aguerd is in doubt (late return from AFCON). Defender Pol Lirola has moved to Verona. Midfielder Emerson will not play due to injury.
Liverpool
Liverpool surprisingly beat Inter away in the last round with a score of 1:0. The only goal in the game was scored from a penalty in the 88th minute. Penalties were awarded in 3 of the club's 6 Champions League matches. It is also worth noting that the visitors have been unable to draw in this European competition for 27 matches, during which they have recorded 19 wins and 8 defeats. The club are in 9th place, trailing Atletico, who are eighth, only on tiebreakers. The team needs only to avoid defeat to guarantee participation in the playoffs.
- No more than three goals were scored in 5 of the visitors' previous 7 away matches in this tournament.
- Liverpool won 6 of their last 8 away matches in the Champions League.
- The club conceded more than 1 goal in only 1 of their last 11 away matches in this European competition.
Potential Liverpool Lineup (4-5-1)
Liverpool – Alisson – Milos Kerkez, Andrew Robertson, Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez – Jeremie Frimpong, Ryan Gravenberch, Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister, Cody Gakpo – Florian Wirtz.
Defender Conor Bradley and forward Alexander Isak are injured, and defender Ibrahima Konate will miss the match due to family reasons. Forward Mohamed Salah was included in the squad for the game.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 5 (International matches, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second) – 13;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match on average – 28;
Penalties – 20%.
Olympique Marseille Vs Liverpool: Match Prediction
Both clubs have shown inconsistent form this season not only in the Champions League but also in their domestic championships. We give a slight preference to the visitors, who have not tasted defeat in 12 consecutive official matches (7 wins and 5 draws). The visitors have also won 16 of 19 group/main stage matches in the Champions League. In addition, Liverpool have not lost in 6 of their last 8 meetings with French clubs (5 wins and 1 draw). By contrast, Olympique Marseille have recorded only one victory in their last 13 meetings with English clubs (3 draws and 9 defeats).
This match will also most likely be high-scoring. At least three goals were scored in 10 of Olympique Marseille's previous 13 Champions League matches. The same number of goals were scored in 12 of the visitors' last 19 away matches in this competition. Attention should be paid to the finishing of Dominik Szoboszlai, who scored in 3 of his last 4 matches in this European competition, and to Igor Paixao, who has scored 4 goals in his previous five matches in this tournament.
We predict – Liverpool Or Draw and Over 2.5 Goals.
Prediction: Liverpool Or Draw + Over 2.5 Goals
