The Ligue 1 round 26 match between Marseille and Auxerre will take place on 13 March at the Velodrome. Marseille vs Auxerre: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Marseille
A 1:0 win over Toulouse in the previous round helped Marseille climb to third place in the French top flight. It was their 14th victory after 25 matches (4 draws, 7 defeats), but the situation in the standings remains tight: the club are only ahead of Lyon on tiebreakers. Marseille’s attacking output is also worth highlighting. After 25 rounds, Marseille have already scored 52 goals - an average of 2.13 per game - and by that metric they trail only the Parisians.
- In 12 home games in the 2025/26 season, the home side have recorded eight wins (3 draws, 1 defeat).
- The team have scored at least once in 15 of their last 16 home matches in Ligue 1.
- Marseille have conceded in seven of their previous eight league games.
Potential Marseille Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Geronimo Rulli - Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Leonardo Balerdi - Geoffrey Kondogbia, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg - Amine Harit, Mason Greenwood, Hamed Junior Traore - Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Auxerre
Results in the last two matches, in which Auxerre drew with Lorient (2:2) and Strasbourg (0:0), have slightly improved their situation, but they are still 16th in the table and remain at serious risk of relegation by the end of the season. Moreover, Auxerre are the weakest team in Ligue 1 in attacking play. Across 25 rounds, Christophe Pelissier's side have scored just 19 goals. Defensively, however, things look far better: they have conceded only 35 in the same 25 games, which can be considered a very respectable figure, even compared to some clubs in the upper half of the standings.
- At least one of the teams failed to score in seven of Auxerre’s previous nine league matches.
- In 12 away matches in the 2025/26 season, the visitors have recorded one win (4 draws, 7 defeats).
- Auxerre have conceded in 12 of their last 13 away matches in Ligue 1.
Potential Auxerre Lineup (4-4-2)*
Donovan Leon - Gideon Mensah, Sinaly Diomande, Marvin Senaya, Braian Oko - Josue Casimir, Fredrik Oppegard, Keven Danua, Elisha Owusu - Danny Namaso, Lassine Sinayoko.
Marseille vs Auxerre: Match Prediction
After the match against Auxerre, the home team face two tough fixtures against two of their closest challengers in the standings. That makes this game a good opportunity to open up a little gap on their rivals and secure a third straight league win. They also have a slight advantage: unlike many opponents, the club are not involved in European competition and can focus fully on domestic matches. On top of that, the statistics from home games are in Marseille’s favour. In their last 24 matches at the Velodrome, the team have lost only twice (17 wins, 5 draws). One of those recent defeats came against Nantes, but the outcome was heavily influenced by an early red card that Marseille received at the start of the match.
As for Auxerre’s strengths, we can once again highlight their defensive play - as mentioned earlier, the team do a fairly good job in that area. However, it is difficult to call it a major advantage when the side have clear problems in front of goal. Besides, while Marseille are not considered a model of defensive reliability - in that respect they trail every team in the top four - their attack is firing on all cylinders. Therefore, even Auxerre’s fairly well-organised defence is unlikely to withstand the pressure for long, especially with the match being played at the Velodrome, where it is always difficult for any team. Taking all these factors into account, we believe Marseille should come through comfortably and take all three points.
Prediction: Marseille to win
* For each team, the starting XI listed is from their previous match in this competition.
