The Matchday 11 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Hoffenheim will take place on November 21 at the MEWA Arena. Mainz vs. Hoffenheim: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the last round, Bo Henriksen's side suffered a 0-1 defeat away to Eintracht. As a result, Mainz recorded their fifth loss in their last six Bundesliga matches (1 draw). The team extended their streak of conceding goals in the league to 21 matches and failed to score for the fifth time in the current Bundesliga campaign. In the standings, Mainz sits in second-to-last place with five points. Notably, the team has earned just one point in home matches.
- The club has not won in their last ten home matches in the Bundesliga (4 losses, 6 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Mainz's last 10 home league matches.
- Mainz conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 9 of their last 10 home Bundesliga matches.
Projected lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, Lennard Maloney – Silvan Widmer, Nadiem Amiri, Kaisu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the match due to injury.
Hoffenheim
Christian Ilzer's side defeated Leipzig 3-1 at home in the last round. Consequently, Hoffenheim extended their winning streak in the Bundesliga to four matches, scoring three goals in each victory. With 19 points, the team is in sixth place in the standings. Notably, Hoffenheim leads alongside Bayern in points earned away from home (13 each).
- The club has not lost in their last seven away Bundesliga matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
- The team scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 away league matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 9 away Bundesliga matches.
Projected lineup for Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
Oliver Baumann – Bernardo, Albian Hajdari, Robin Gnagnon, Vladimir Coufal – Basuma Toure, Wouter Burger, Leon Avdullahu, Grischa Prömel – Tim Lemperle, Andrej Kramaric.
Defender Koki Matida and forward Adam Hložek are injured.
Referee
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches – 20 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 67;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 4;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 20%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Hoffenheim
Despite struggling to secure a home victory for a long time, Mainz consistently plays with an attacking mindset. In their last 18 home Bundesliga matches, the team failed to score only four times and netted at least two goals in ten of those games. Meanwhile, Mainz has not kept a clean sheet in their last ten home league matches.
Hoffenheim also favors attacking football and frequently scores in away games. In their last nine away Bundesliga matches, the team has always scored. Furthermore, they netted at least twice in seven encounters during this period. However, defensively, Hoffenheim has struggled, conceding in 9 of their last 10 away league matches and at least two goals in six of those games.
I anticipate a high-scoring match, so my prediction: Total over 2.5 goals
