Bundesliga
26th tour
Mainz 05
MATCH FINISHED
15 Mar
2
:
2
Freiburg

Match stats

Logo Mainz Logo Freiburg
45 Ball possession (%) 55
9 Goal attempts 24
4 Shots on Goal 8
4 Shots off Goal 10
1 Blocked shots 6

Mainz 05 vs Freiburg: prediction & betting odds 15 Mar 2025

The Matchday 26 clash in the Bundesliga between Mainz and Freiburg will take place on March 15 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Freiburg: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Mainz

In the last round, the team defeated Borussia Monchengladbach away (3-1), securing their fourth consecutive victory in the league. Notably, Mainz has not had such a successful streak in the Bundesliga for over two years. Additionally, in all matches during this stretch, Bo Henriksen's side scored at least twice. Nevertheless, six clubs have scored more goals than Mainz in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. However, this fact likely doesn't upset the team, which has climbed to third place in the standings.

  • At least one opponent failed to score in 5 of Bo Henriksen's last 7 Bundesliga matches.
  • The club won 6 of their last 7 home matches in the Bundesliga (1 draw).
  • In the last 8 home games in this tournament, Mainz has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)

Robin Zentner – Dominik Kohr, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa – Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Jonathan Burkardt, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung.

Defender Stefan Bell is injured.

Freiburg

After four consecutive victories in the league, the team played out goalless draws with Augsburg and Leipzig. During this period, Julian Schuster's side kept their goal intact in all matches. Thus, Freiburg achieved the longest clean sheet streak in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. However, four clubs from the top six have conceded fewer goals than Julian Schuster's team. Freiburg currently occupies fifth place in the overall standings.

  • No more than two goals were scored in 5 of the team's last 6 league matches.
  • The club has not won in 8 of their last 10 away matches in the Bundesliga (3 draws, 5 losses).
  • Freiburg has scored against their upcoming opponent in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Freiburg (4-5-1)

Noah Atubolu – Philipp Lienhart, Christian Günter, Matthias Ginter, Kiliann Sildillia – Patrick Osterhage, Maximilian Eggestein, Lucas Höler, Ritsu Doan, Ermedin Demirovic – Chikwubuike Adamu.

Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Freiburg

Both teams exhibit excellent defensive play, even though the Bundesliga is the most prolific among the top five European leagues. It would be surprising to expect a goal fest from such opponents. Moreover, this is not typical for their head-to-head encounters: no more than two goals were scored in 7 of the last 8 meetings in this tournament.

In the last five league matches, Mainz conceded only two goals. At home, Bo Henriksen's team has kept four consecutive clean sheets, marking the longest home clean sheet streak in the current Bundesliga season. Freiburg, in the last round, set their own record for time without conceding goals: Noah Atubolu has kept his goal intact for 577 minutes in the Bundesliga.

However, the teams appear modest in attack. Mainz is only seventh in scoring in the league. Freiburg has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 Bundesliga matches. Away in the league, Julian Schuster's side has managed to score at least two goals in just one of their last 16 games.

My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals

Mainz 05 vs Freiburg Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS

Bundesliga: previous matches of the tournament

Mainz 05
07.03.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Mainz 05
W
01.03.25
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
W
22.02.25
Mainz 05
St. Pauli
W
16.02.25
Heidenheim
Mainz 05
W
08.02.25
Mainz 05
Augsburg
D
31.01.25
Werder Bremen
Mainz 05
L
25.01.25
Mainz 05
Stuttgart
W
19.01.25
Union Berlin
Mainz 05
L
14.01.25
Bayer 04
Mainz 05
L
11.01.25
Mainz 05
Bochum
W
21.12.24
Eintracht Frankfurt
Mainz 05
W
14.12.24
Mainz 05
Bayern Munich
W
08.12.24
Wolfsburg
Mainz 05
L
01.12.24
Mainz 05
Hoffenheim
W
24.11.24
Holstein Kiel
Mainz 05
W
09.11.24
Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
W
03.11.24
Freiburg
Mainz 05
D
25.10.24
Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
19.10.24
Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
L
05.10.24
St. Pauli
Mainz 05
W
28.09.24
Mainz 05
Heidenheim
L
20.09.24
Augsburg
Mainz 05
W
15.09.24
Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
L
31.08.24
Stuttgart
Mainz 05
D
24.08.24
Mainz 05
Union Berlin
D
More matches
Freiburg
08.03.25
Freiburg
RB Leipzig
D
02.03.25
Augsburg
Freiburg
D
21.02.25
Freiburg
Werder Bremen
W
15.02.25
St. Pauli
Freiburg
W
08.02.25
Freiburg
Heidenheim
W
01.02.25
Bochum
Freiburg
W
25.01.25
Freiburg
Bayern Munich
L
18.01.25
Stuttgart
Freiburg
L
14.01.25
Eintracht Frankfurt
Freiburg
L
11.01.25
Freiburg
Holstein Kiel
W
21.12.24
Bayer 04
Freiburg
L
13.12.24
Freiburg
Wolfsburg
W
08.12.24
Hoffenheim
Freiburg
D
30.11.24
Freiburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
W
23.11.24
Borussia Dortmund
Freiburg
L
08.11.24
Union Berlin
Freiburg
D
03.11.24
Freiburg
Mainz 05
D
26.10.24
RB Leipzig
Freiburg
L
19.10.24
Freiburg
Augsburg
W
05.10.24
Werder Bremen
Freiburg
W
28.09.24
Freiburg
St. Pauli
L
21.09.24
Heidenheim
Freiburg
W
14.09.24
Freiburg
Bochum
W
01.09.24
Bayern Munich
Freiburg
L
24.08.24
Freiburg
Stuttgart
W
More matches

H2H: Mainz 05 — Freiburg

Bundesliga 2024-2025
03.11.24
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2023-2024
21.04.24
Freiburg
Mainz 05
03.12.23
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2022-2023
19.03.23
Mainz 05
Freiburg
01.10.22
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2021-2022
12.02.22
Freiburg
Mainz 05
18.09.21
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2020-2021
13.03.21
Mainz 05
Freiburg
22.11.20
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2019-2020
18.01.20
Mainz 05
Freiburg
17.08.19
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2018-2019
05.04.19
Mainz 05
Freiburg
10.11.18
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2017-2018
16.04.18
Mainz 05
Freiburg
25.11.17
Freiburg
Mainz 05
Bundesliga 2016-2017
08.04.17
Freiburg
Mainz 05
19.11.16
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2014-2015
18.04.15
Freiburg
Mainz 05
22.11.14
Mainz 05
Freiburg
Bundesliga 2013-2014
31.01.14
Mainz 05
Freiburg
2
:
0
16.08.13
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
2
Bundesliga 2012-2013
18.01.13
Mainz 05
Freiburg
0
:
0
24.08.12
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
1
Bundesliga 2011-2012
28.01.12
Mainz 05
Freiburg
3
:
1
12.08.11
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
2
Bundesliga 2010-2011
01.04.11
Mainz 05
Freiburg
1
:
1
05.11.10
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
0
Bundesliga 2009-2010
19.03.10
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
0
23.10.09
Mainz 05
Freiburg
3
:
0
Bundesliga 2004-2005
04.03.05
Mainz 05
Freiburg
5
:
0
01.10.04
Freiburg
Mainz 05
1
:
2
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
32 23 7 2 93:32 76
2
Bayer 04
31 19 10 2 66:35 67
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
31 16 7 8 62:42 55
4
Freiburg
31 15 6 10 44:47 51
5
RB Leipzig
32 13 11 8 51:45 50
6
Borussia Dortmund
31 14 6 11 60:49 48
7
Mainz 05
31 13 8 10 48:39 47
8
Werder Bremen
32 13 8 11 50:56 47
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
32 13 6 13 55:54 45
10
Stuttgart
32 12 8 12 57:51 44
11
Augsburg
31 11 10 10 33:42 43
12
Wolfsburg
31 10 9 12 53:48 39
13
Union Berlin
32 9 10 13 33:47 37
14
St. Pauli
32 8 7 17 26:37 31
15
Hoffenheim
32 7 10 15 44:62 31
16
Heidenheim
32 7 5 20 33:60 26
17
Holstein Kiel
31 5 7 19 45:74 22
18
Bochum
32 5 7 20 30:63 22
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
16 13 2 1 51:16 41
2
Bayer 04
16 10 4 2 34:18 34
3
Eintracht Frankfurt
16 10 3 3 39:20 33
4
Borussia Dortmund
15 9 3 3 37:19 30
5
RB Leipzig
16 8 6 2 31:20 30
6
Freiburg
15 9 2 4 29:21 29
7
Mainz 05
15 6 6 3 21:15 24
8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
16 7 3 6 29:25 24
9
Augsburg
15 6 5 4 16:15 23
10
Union Berlin
16 5 6 5 18:20 21
11
Stuttgart
16 6 2 8 31:27 20
12
Werder Bremen
16 5 5 6 21:26 20
13
Hoffenheim
16 4 5 7 25:32 17
14
Wolfsburg
16 3 6 7 25:28 15
15
St. Pauli
16 3 5 8 10:17 14
16
Holstein Kiel
16 4 2 10 23:39 14
17
Bochum
16 3 4 9 15:29 13
18
Heidenheim
16 3 2 11 12:29 11
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Bayern Munich
16 10 5 1 42:16 35
2
Bayer 04
15 9 6 0 32:17 33
3
Werder Bremen
16 8 3 5 29:30 27
4
Wolfsburg
15 7 3 5 28:20 24
5
Stuttgart
16 6 6 4 26:24 24
6
Mainz 05
16 7 2 7 27:24 23
7
Eintracht Frankfurt
15 6 4 5 23:22 22
8
Freiburg
16 6 4 6 15:26 22
9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
16 6 3 7 26:29 21
10
RB Leipzig
16 5 5 6 20:25 20
11
Augsburg
16 5 5 6 17:27 20
12
Borussia Dortmund
16 5 3 8 23:30 18
13
St. Pauli
16 5 2 9 16:20 17
14
Union Berlin
16 4 4 8 15:27 16
15
Heidenheim
16 4 3 9 21:31 15
16
Hoffenheim
16 3 5 8 19:30 14
17
Bochum
16 2 3 11 15:34 9
18
Holstein Kiel
15 1 5 9 22:35 8

Team lineups

Mainz 05

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Robin Centner
gk. 25 -26
Phillipp Mwene
df. 25 0
Anthony Caci
df. 24 1
Danny da Costa
df. 16 0
Moritz Jenz
df. 14 0
Kaishu Sano
mf. 25 0
Jae-Sung Lee
mf. 24 6
Dominik Kohr
mf. 23 1
Paul Nebel
mf. 23 7
Nadiem Amiri
mf. 22 6
Jonathan Burkardt
fw. 21 14
Substitutes
Lasse Finn Rieß
gk. 0 0
Silvan Widmer
df. 21 0
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
df. 14 0
Maxim Leitsch
df. 14 1
Nikolas Konrad Veratschnig
df. 7 0
Hyun-Seok Hong
mf. 16 0
Armindo Sieb
fw. 23 2
Nelson Felix Patrick Weiper
fw. 15 2
Arnaud Nordin
fw. 2 0
Freiburg

coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Noah Atubolu
gk. 22 -29
Christian Günter
df. 24 2
Matthias Ginter
df. 24 2
Philipp Lienhart
df. 23 1
Kiliann Eric Sildillia
df. 14 2
Ritsu Doan
mf. 25 8
Vincenzo Grifo
mf. 25 8
Maximilian Eggestein
mf. 24 0
Patrick Osterhage
mf. 22 0
Lucas Höler
fw. 23 2
Chukwubuike Junior Adamu
fw. 18 2
Substitutes
Florian Müller
gk. 3 -7
Lukas Kübler
df. 19 4
Maximilian Rosenfelder
df. 18 0
Jordy Makengo Basambundu
df. 12 0
Jan-Niklas Beste
df. 5 0
Nicolas Hefler
mf. 16 0
Johan Manzambi
mf. 4 0
Eren Sami Dinkçi
fw. 21 0
Michael Gregoritsch
fw. 14 1
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