The Matchday 7 Bundesliga clash between Mainz and Bayer will take place on October 18 at the Mewa Arena. Mainz vs. Bayer: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Mainz
In the previous round, Bo Henriksen's side suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat away to Hamburg. This resulted in Mainz enduring their largest loss in the last two Bundesliga seasons and their fourth goalless defeat in the current championship. Additionally, the club conceded more than one goal for only the second time in this tournament. In the standings, Mainz has dropped to 16th place with four points.
- The team has not won in their last eight home matches in the Bundesliga (3 losses, 5 draws).
- The club has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in their last eight home league matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 9 of Mainz's last 12 home Bundesliga games.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Lasse Rieß – Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Dominik Kohr – Arnaud Nordin, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene – Lee Jae-sung, Paul Nebel, Benedict Hollerbach.
Defender Anthony Caci will miss the game due to injury. Goalkeeper Robin Zentner is suspended.
Bayer
Kasper Hjulmand's side defeated Union 2-0 at home in the last round. As a result, Bayer extended their unbeaten run in the Bundesliga to five matches (3 wins, 2 draws). Furthermore, the team managed to keep a clean sheet for the first time in nine league games. Leverkusen has accumulated 11 points, climbing to fifth place in the standings. Additionally, the club has scored 12 goals in the current Bundesliga season, trailing only Bayern Munich (25) and Eintracht Frankfurt (17).
- The team has not lost in their last 36 away league matches (24 wins, 12 draws).
- Both teams scored in 7 of Bayer's last 8 away Bundesliga matches.
- Leverkusen has scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 9 away league games.
Predicted lineup for Bayer (3-4-3)
Mark Flekken – Loïc Badé, Jarell Quansah, Edmond Tapsoba – Álex Grimaldo, Ignacio Fernández, Aleix García, Lucas Vázquez – Malik Tillman, Ernest Poku, Kristjan Koffan.
Defender Axel Tuanzebe and midfielder Exequiel Palacios will not play due to injuries.
Referee
Florian Exner (Germany)
Matches – 13 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 64;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.9;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 15%.
Match Prediction: Mainz vs. Bayer
The start of the current Bundesliga season has been challenging for the hosts – only one win in six rounds (1 draw, 4 losses) and a position near the bottom of the standings. Even at home, Mainz will find it difficult to turn things around: they have not won in their last eight home matches (3 losses, 5 draws). Moreover, the club has not scored at home in this championship and has not earned a single point in three matches.
Bayer has not lost an away Bundesliga match for a long time: their current unbeaten streak is 36 matches (24 wins, 12 draws). Additionally, in 7 of their last 9 away league games, Leverkusen has scored at least two goals. It's also worth noting that the club has lost only once in the last seven head-to-head encounters at Mainz's ground in the Bundesliga, winning five times during this period.
I expect a strong performance from Kasper Hjulmand's side, and my prediction: Bayer with a handicap (0)
