Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: betting odds 15 Nov 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Luxembourg and Bulgaria in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 15 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Yuri Frischer (Estonia)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 13;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 16;

Penalties – 40%.

Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria

Luxembourg (4-3-3): Anthony Moris – Laurent Jans, Michael Pinto, Lars Gerson, Dirk Carlson – Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Sebastien Thill – Christopher Martins, Danel Sinani, Gerson Rodrigues.

Bulgaria (4-5-1): Dimitar Mitov – Valentin Antov, Zhivko Atanasov, Petko Hristov, Viktor Popov – Simeon Petrov, Filip Krastev, Iliyan Iliev, Georgi Milanov, Martin Minchev – Kiril Despodov.

Luxembourg

After two defeats at the start of the Nations League, Luxembourg managed to draw the next two matches, sharing points with Bulgaria (0-0) and Belarus (1-1). With two points, the team is at the bottom of Group 3 in League C. A defeat in this match would guarantee them a fourth-place finish. Notably, Luxembourg is among the four teams in League C yet to secure a victory, having scored just one goal, which is the lowest tally in the league alongside Cyprus and Bulgaria.

• No more than 2 goals have been scored in Luxembourg's last 5 Nations League matches.
• The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 Nations League encounters (4 draws, 3 losses).
• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Luxembourg's last 10 home games in this tournament.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria suffered their heaviest defeat in the Nations League, losing 0-5 to Northern Ireland in the last round, marking the second time they have conceded five goals in the tournament's history. This loss ended their seven-match unbeaten streak in the Nations League (3 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, their run of four matches without conceding a goal was also halted. As a result, they dropped to third place in Group 3. However, by earning points in the upcoming match, Bulgaria can ensure they do not fall further, maintaining their position in League C. They still have a chance to win the group.

• At least one team has failed to score in Bulgaria's last 5 Nations League matches.
• The team has not scored more than once in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
• Bulgaria has not won away in 9 of their last 10 Nations League outings (5 draws, 4 losses).

Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: Match Prediction

After two goalless defeats at the start of the tournament, Luxembourg managed to regroup and held their own against Bulgaria and Belarus. In the match against Bulgaria, they even had more chances to score. In the last round, they finally opened their scoring account in this Nations League campaign. The hosts have no room for error; a win in the upcoming match would allow them to move off the bottom of the group, overtaking Bulgaria.

Considering Luxembourg's improvement and their competitive performance against Bulgaria away, I believe the hosts have every chance to at least earn a point in the upcoming match. At home, the team has not lost in 4 of their last 6 Nations League matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Bulgaria, on the other hand, has failed to win in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament. Recovering from their last-round debacle will also be challenging for the visitors.

I expect the hosts not to lose this match, and I do not anticipate a high-scoring affair. No more than 2 goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg's last 8 home Nations League matches and in 9 of Bulgaria's last 10 away games in the tournament. Therefore, my prediction: 1X + Total under 2.5 goals