Luxembourg vs Bulgaria: betting odds 15 Nov 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Luxembourg and Bulgaria in Group 3 of League C will take place on November 15 at Stade de Luxembourg. Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Yuri Frischer (Estonia)

Matches – 5 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 13;

Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 16;

Penalties – 40%.

Predicted lineups for Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria

Luxembourg (4-3-3): Ralph Schon – Laurent Jans, Michael Pinto, Lars Gerson, Dirk Carlson – Leandro Barreiro, Mathias Olesen, Sebastien Thill – Christopher Martins, Danel Sinani, Gerson Rodrigues.

Bulgaria (4-5-1): Dimitar Mitov – Valentin Antov, Zhivko Atanasov, Petko Hristov, Viktor Popov – Simeon Petrov, Filip Krastev, Iliyan Iliev, Georgi Milanov, Martin Minchev – Kiril Despodov.

Luxembourg

After two defeats at the start of the Nations League, Luxembourg managed to draw their next two matches, sharing the spoils with Bulgaria (0-0) and Belarus (1-1). With two points, the team is at the bottom of the Group 3 standings in League C. A loss in this match would ensure they finish in 4th place. Notably, Luxembourg is one of four teams in League C yet to secure a win. They have scored only one goal, which is the lowest in the league alongside Cyprus and Bulgaria.

• No more than 2 goals have been scored in Luxembourg's last 5 Nations League matches.
• The team has not won in 7 of their last 8 Nations League encounters (4 draws, 3 losses).
• At least one opponent failed to score in 9 of Luxembourg's last 10 home matches in this tournament.

Bulgaria

Bulgaria suffered their heaviest defeat in the Nations League, losing 0-5 to Northern Ireland in the previous round, marking the second time they have conceded five goals in the tournament's history. This defeat ended a seven-match unbeaten run in the Nations League (3 wins, 4 draws). Additionally, it snapped a streak of four matches without conceding a goal. As a result, the team dropped one position in the Group 3 standings, falling to 3rd place. However, by earning points in the upcoming match, Bulgaria can ensure they remain in League C and still have a chance to win the group.

• At least one team failed to score in Bulgaria's last 5 Nations League matches.
• The team has not scored more than once in 10 of their last 11 away matches in this tournament.
• Bulgaria has not won in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the Nations League (5 draws, 4 losses).

Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria: Match Prediction

After two goalless defeats at the start of the tournament, Luxembourg managed to regroup and played on equal terms against Bulgaria and Belarus. In the match against Bulgaria, they even had more opportunities to score. In the last round, Luxembourg opened their scoring account in the current Nations League edition. The hosts have no room for error, and a win in this match would allow them to move off the bottom of the group, overtaking Bulgaria.

Considering Luxembourg's improvement and their equal footing with Bulgaria in the away match, I believe the hosts have every chance to at least earn points in the upcoming game. At home, Luxembourg has not lost in 4 of their last 6 Nations League matches (2 wins, 2 draws). Meanwhile, Bulgaria has not won in 9 of their last 10 away matches in this tournament. After their last round's fiasco, it will be hard for the visitors to recover.

I expect the hosts not to lose in this match, and I do not anticipate many goals. No more than 2 goals have been scored in 7 of Luxembourg's last 8 home Nations League matches and in 9 of Bulgaria's last 10 away matches in the tournament. Therefore, my prediction is: 1X + Total under 2.5 goals