The round of 16 match of the Coupe de France between Lorient and Paris will take place on 4 february at Stade du Moustoir. Lorient vs Paris: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Lorient
Lorient had no problems in the two previous rounds of the Coupe de France. However, the opponents were from the fifth tier and below: first Gozée were routed 7:0, and then O-Lyon were beaten 3:1. Last season the team stopped at the round of 32, where they lost to Cannes 1:2. Interestingly, Lorient previously won the Coupe de France once, and that happened in 2002. Since then the club has only reached the semi-finals twice.
- The team won 5 of its previous 6 matches in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in five of Lorient's last matches in the Coupe de France.
- The club conceded in 6 of its previous 7 home matches in this cup.
Potential Lorient Lineup (4-2-2-2)*
Bingourou Camara – Igor Silva, Bamo Meite, Nathanael Adjei, Theo Le Bri – Laurent Abergel, Jordi Makengo – Pablo Pagi, Yoel Mugisha – Sheikhou Dieng, Trevan Sanusi.
Defenders Souleymane Toure, Abdoulaye Faye and Darlyn Yongwa, as well as forwards Mohamed Bamba and Tosin Aiyegun, are out with injuries.
Paris
Paris produced the main upset of the current Coupe de France edition in the previous round. Playing at Parc des Princes, the home side managed to beat the tournament favorite Paris Saint-Germain 1:0. Before that Paris also smashed Raon-l'Étape 3:0 away. The club's history in the Coupe de France is not that extensive, and this century it has reached the round of 16 only for the second time. The last time was three years ago, when the club was stopped by Annecy in a penalty shootout.
- The club won in regular time in 9 of its previous 13 matches in this competition.
- Both teams scored in 6 of Paris's last 8 Coupe de France matches.
- The team scored at least two goals in 7 of its previous 9 away matches in this cup.
Potential Paris Lineup (5-4-1)*
Obe Nkambadio – Timothee Kolodziejczak, Mustafa Mbou, Otavio, Noa Sangui, Thomas Ollila – Adama Camara, Alimami Gory, Mathieu Cafaro, Julien Lopes – Willem Jebbel.
Forward Pierre-Yves Hamel, midfielder Pierre Lees-Melou, and defenders Samir Chergui, Thibo De Smet and Sofiane Alakouch are out injured.
Referee
Mathieu Vernis (France)
Matches – 8 (Ligue 1 and the Coupe de France, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellow) – 36;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.5;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls average per match – 30;
Penalties – 13%.
Lorient vs Paris: Match Prediction
In the upcoming meeting of the two Ligue 1 opponents the hosts are favorites, but we believe that the visitors have good chances to reach the quarter-finals for the first time since 1980. Paris currently have a decent squad that is already accustomed to the top division of France and, despite a low 13th position in the standings, will, it seems, remain in Ligue 1. Periodically the capital club produces results and can beat or draw with the championship's top teams. This was exactly the case in the previous cup round, when Paris unexpectedly beat their city rivals Paris Saint-Germain.
In addition, Paris play very well away from home in the Coupe de France. In their previous nine away cup matches they suffered only one defeat in regular time (6 wins and 2 draws). Lorient, on the other hand, failed to win in 90 minutes in 3 of their last 4 home games in this cup (2 draws and 1 defeat). It is also worth adding that the teams met earlier this season in Ligue 1 and Paris won comfortably at home 2:0.
Prediction: Paris To Win Or Draw
* The starting lineup for each team is shown from its last match in this competition.
