Lens vs Toulouse: prediction & betting odds 21 April 2026

On Tuesday, 21 April, at 20:10 UK time (22:10 Moscow time), Lens host Toulouse at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis in the first semi-final of the 2025/26 Coupe de France.

PSG went out in the early rounds, and the path to the final has suddenly opened up: this tie will determine one of the teams in the final on 22 May at the Stade de France.

We offer a prediction for a match which the bookmakers’ odds make look straightforward but which could in reality prove one of the tightest of the season for the team coached by Pierre Sage. There is a great bet available.

Lens Form

Lens go into the semi-final on the back of a nervy but telling victory: on Friday the home team coached by Pierre Sage beat Toulouse 3:2, despite trailing 0:2 as early as the 13th minute. At home the hosts are almost exemplary, and their cup run has already tested their character: in the quarter-final the home side got past Lyon only on penalties, winning 3:2 in the shootout.

Important numbers for Lens:

Eight draws in 11 home cup matches.
Eleven goals scored in the last three home games in all competitions.
On Friday against Toulouse: 41 shots, 13 on target, 14 corners and 78% possession.

Potential lineup (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser — Ismaelo Ganiou, Malang Sarr, Saud Abdulhamid — Arthur Masuaku, Mamadou Sangare, Adrien Thomasson, Matthieu Udol — Allan Saint-Maximin, Wesley Said — Odsonne Edouard.

Unavailable: Kylian Antonio, Jonathan Gradit, Regis Gurtner (all injured), Nidal Celik is not in the squad.

Toulouse Form

Toulouse go into the semi-final as underdogs but have already shown they can compete with this opponent. On Friday the visitors went 2:0 up by the 13th minute and, until Yann Gboho was sent off, the away side looked assured on their travels. However, the overall away picture is worrying: the defence gives opponents too much, and there is not enough stability without the ball. In the Coupe de France, though, the guests have already come through a tough trip to Marseille, where they won on penalties 3:2.

Important numbers for Toulouse:

Toulouse have drawn their last four away cup matches.
Just one win in their last seven away games in regulation time.
Both teams have scored in three of Toulouse’s four away matches in this season’s Coupe de France.

Potential lineup (3-4-2-1): Guillaume Restes — Seny Koumbassa, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen — Djibril Sidibe, Cristian Casseres, Pape Demba Diop, Waren Kamanzi — Aron Donnum, Santiago Hidalgo — Emersonn.

Unavailable: Alex Dominguez, Alex, Frank Magri (all injured), Mark McKenzie is suspended.