The Copa del Rey quarter-final match between Leganes and Real Madrid will take place on February 5 at the Butarque Stadium. Leganes vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leganes
The club from the suburbs of Madrid played all four of their matches in the current Copa del Rey away from home, winning three times with a minimal margin, and one match required a penalty shootout. The most thrilling was the last match, where Borja Jimenez's team managed to defeat one of the Segunda leaders, Almeria, 3-2. The most successful season for Leganes was 2017/18, when they reached the Copa del Rey semi-finals but lost to Sevilla over two legs.
Defender Enric Franquesa and midfielder Seydouba Cisse will miss the match due to injuries.
- The number "2" appeared in the scoreline at the end of regular time in 6 of the club's last 8 matches in this tournament.
- Leganes has suffered only two defeats after 90 minutes in 11 of their last 13 Copa del Rey matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
- Both teams scored in regular time in 7 of the club's last 10 matches in this cup.
Predicted lineup for Leganes (4-2-3-1)
Juan Soriano – Javi Hernandez Carrera, Matija Nastasic, Sergio Gonzalez, Adria Altimira – Renato Tapia, Seydouba Cisse – Darko Brasanac, Munir El Haddadi, Roberto Lopez – Diego Garcia.
Real Madrid
The capital club has played two matches in the current Copa del Rey. In the first game against the modest Deportivo Minero, the team had no problems, securing a 5-0 away victory. However, in the previous stage at home, they had to resort to extra time to overcome Celta (2-2, extra time 3-0). Last season, Madrid was stopped at the round of 16, losing to Atletico (2-4), while they last won the cup in 2023.
Due to injuries, defenders Antonio Rudiger, Eder Militao, and Dani Carvajal are unavailable, and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga is also doubtful for the match. Additionally, defender Raul Asencio transferred to Aston Villa.
- At least three goals were scored in regular time in Real Madrid's last six Copa del Rey matches.
- Madrid has been victorious after 90 minutes in 5 of their last 6 away games in this tournament.
- The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in their last five away matches in this cup.
Predicted lineup for Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Andriy Lunin – Fran Garcia, Raul Asencio, Antonio Rudiger, Lucas Vazquez – Aurelien Tchouameni, Luka Modric – Brahim Diaz, Vinicius Junior, Dani Ceballos – Kylian Mbappe.
Referee
Javier Alberola Rojas (Spain)
Matches – 14 (La Liga and Copa del Rey, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 41;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 36%.
Leganes vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Despite the thrashing Real Madrid handed out at the Butarque in the first round of La Liga, I believe it will be much more challenging for them to defeat the hosts in this encounter. Moreover, Real Madrid has failed to beat Leganes at their stadium in the last three matches in the league and Copa del Rey (2 draws and 1 loss).
Borja Jimenez's team has become noticeably more organized towards the middle of the season, suffering only one defeat with a minimal margin in their last six matches in La Liga and Copa del Rey (3 wins and 2 draws). It's worth noting that this winter, Leganes achieved two sensational victories in the league, defeating both Barcelona and Atletico 1-0. Additionally, Real Madrid faces a crucial La Liga derby against Atletico in three days, a match they are preparing for more intensively than the cup match.
My prediction: Leganes with a handicap (+1.5)
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