The Premier League Matchday 12 encounter between Leeds and Aston Villa will take place on November 23 at Elland Road. Leeds vs. Aston Villa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Leeds
The club has struggled in their last two away matches in the league. Daniel Farke's side suffered defeats to Brighton (0-3) and Nottingham Forest (1-3). Additionally, in their last six Premier League matches, Leeds managed just one victory, against West Ham with a score of 2-1 (1 draw and 4 losses). As a result, the club sits in 16th place in the standings, just one point ahead of the nearest relegation zone rival.
- The team has not won in 17 of their last 20 Premier League matches (4 draws and 13 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Leeds' last 7 league games.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the club's last 7 Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Leeds (5-3-2)
Lucas Perry – Jayden Bogle, Joe Rodon, Ethan Ampadu, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Jaka Bijol – Sean Longstaff, Anton Stach, Brenden Aaronson – Lukas Nmecha, Noah Okafor.
Aston Villa
Meanwhile, the Birmingham side is sixth, just one point away from the top four. In the last round, the team significantly improved their goal difference by thrashing Bournemouth 4-0 at home. Their rise in the standings is thanks to winning 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches (with a loss to Liverpool 0-2). At the same time, their games remain the lowest-scoring in the Premier League, averaging 2.1 goals per match.
- At least one team failed to score in 11 of the Birmingham side's last 15 league matches.
- Aston Villa has not won in 5 of their last 6 away Premier League matches (2 draws and 3 losses).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 6 of the club's last 7 away Premier League games.
Predicted lineup for Aston Villa (4-2-3-1)
Emiliano Martinez – Ezri Konsa, Lucas Digne, Matty Cash, Pau Torres – Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara, John McGinn – Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.
Defenders Tyrone Mings and Andres Garcia are out due to injuries. Midfielder Tyler Adams is doubtful for the match (injury).
Referee
Robert Jones (England)
Matches – 6 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 15;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.5;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 18;
Penalties – 17%.
Leeds vs. Aston Villa: Match Prediction
The Birmingham side could enter the coveted top four after this round. However, this will not be easy, as they face Leeds, who have lost only 1 of 5 home matches this season. I believe the match will be closely contested, with minimal scoring opportunities. Daniel Farke's side concedes just 1 goal on average in home matches, while the team has scored only 6 goals.
Similarly, don't expect a goal fest from the Birmingham side. The club excels in attack only at their home ground, whereas in their last 8 away Premier League matches, they have only once scored more than one goal. However, they also concede little, allowing opponents to score more than 1 goal in only 3 of their last 11 away league matches. Additionally, in the last three head-to-head meetings at Elland Road in the Premier League, only 4 goals were scored.
My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
