The 24th-round match of the Premier League between Leeds United and Arsenal will take place on 31 january at Elland Road stadium. Leeds United vs Arsenal: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Leeds United
Leeds United are in good form and have suffered only one defeat in their last 10 league matches – against Newcastle United in round 21 with a score of 3:4 (3 wins and 6 draws). After that defeat the club beat Fulham 1:0 at home and also almost beat Everton away, but settled for a 1:1 draw. Nevertheless, the abundance of draws has prevented the team from moving closer to midtable – the home side remains in 16th place but has a 6-point cushion from the bottom three.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of the team’s previous 6 league games.
- Leeds United failed to score more than one goal in 5 of their last 6 Premier League matches.
- At their stadium the club is unbeaten in five consecutive Premier League matches (3 wins and 2 draws).
Potential Leeds United Lineup (3-5-2)*
Karl Darlow – Joe Rodon, Sebastien Bornauw, Pascal Struijk – Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Ilia Gruev, Jayden Bogle, James Justin – Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Brenden Aaronson.
Forward Daniel James and defender Jaka Bijol are injured. Participation of defender Gabriel Gudmundsson is doubtful.
Arsenal
Arsenal sensationally lost at home to Manchester United 2:3 in the last round. It is also important to note that before that the team had drawn twice in the Premier League. The club had not experienced such winless sequences in the league since May last year. It is also worth adding that before the defeat to Manchester United Arsenal went seven league matches without defeat (5 wins and 2 draws). The club remains in first place, although the lead over the two chasers has been reduced to 4 points. The team also remains the best defensively – only 17 goals conceded.
- The visitors have failed to lose in 8 of their last 9 away Premier League matches (5 wins and 3 draws).
- Arsenal failed to score more than one goal in 4 of their previous 5 away Premier League games.
- In the team’s last five league matches the first half finished level.
Potential Arsenal Lineup (4-3-3)*
David Raya – Gabriel Magalhães, Piero Hincapié, Jurrien Timber, William Saliba – Martin Subimendi, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Gabriel Jesus, Leandro Trossard, Bukayo Saka.
Participation of defenders Jurrien Timber and William Saliba is doubtful (minor injuries).
Referee
Stuart Attwell (England)
Matches – 14 (the Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow/Red Cards (Including Second Yellows) Shown – 66;
Average Yellow/Red Cards Per Match – 4.7;
Red Cards Shown – 2;
Fouls Per Match – 21;
Penalties – 29%.
Leeds United Vs Arsenal: Match Prediction
The team adapted to the Premier League up until the end of autumn. Once winter began, the side appeared to change. Since round 14 the club has consistently begun to pick up points, and in the last 10 league matches suffered only one defeat. Moreover, in that match Leeds could even have won but conceded two unfortunate goals from Newcastle United after the 90th minute. We believe that the hosts could produce a surprise even against the league leader.
We assume that Leeds United may not lose, or that any defeat will be minimal. In the previous 12 Premier League matches the club has not lost by more than one goal. As for Arsenal, besides the current run of three matches without a win, in their last nine Premier League matches there has been only one victory by two or more goals. In addition, the visitors have won just 2 of their last 6 away Premier League fixtures, and both wins were by a one-goal margin.
Prediction: Leeds United (+1.5)
* For each team the starting lineup shown is from their last match in this tournament.
