The Matchday 9 Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli will take place on October 28 at the Via del Mare Stadium. Lecce vs. Napoli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lecce
Eusebio Di Francesco's side suffered a 2-3 away defeat to Udinese in the previous round. This loss ended Lecce's three-match unbeaten run in the league (1 win, 2 draws). However, it was only the second time in their last 18 Serie A matches that the club managed to score more than one goal. The team has accrued six points and is positioned 16th in the standings.
- The club has not won in 14 of their last 15 home Serie A matches (5 draws, 9 losses).
- At least one of the opponents failed to score in 5 of their last 7 home league matches.
- Lecce has not scored more than one goal in 8 of their last 9 home Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Lecce (4-5-1)
Vladimiro Falcone – Antonino Gallo, Thiago Gabriel, Kialonda Gaspar, Danilo Veiga – Tete Morente, Thorir Helgason, Medon Berisha, Ylber Ramadani, Santiago Pierotti – Nikola Stulic.
Forward Riccardo Sottil will miss the match due to injury.
Napoli
In the previous round, Antonio Conte's team triumphed over Inter with a 3-1 home victory. As a result, Napoli secured their sixth win in the current Serie A campaign. Furthermore, the team scored more than two goals for the third time this season, although they failed to keep a clean sheet for the sixth consecutive Serie A match. The Neapolitans have amassed 18 points and returned to the top of the standings. Notably, they have scored 15 goals this season, second only to Inter (19).
- The club has not lost in 7 of their last 9 away Serie A matches (4 wins, 3 draws).
- The team has not scored more than once in 8 of their last 10 away league matches.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Napoli's last 9 away Serie A games.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic – Alessandro Buongiorno, Juan Jesus, Giovanni Di Lorenzo – Scott McTominay, Billy Gilmour, Kevin De Bruyne, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Leonardo Spinazzola – Matteo Politano, David Neres.
Defender Amir Rrahmani, midfielders Kevin De Bruyne and Stanislav Lobotka, as well as forwards David Neres, Romelu Lukaku, and Rasmus Højlund, will miss the match due to injuries.
Referee
Giuseppe Collu (Italy)
Matches – 11 (Serie A, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 48;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.4;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 18%.
Match Prediction: Lecce vs. Napoli
Even at home, Lecce rarely delivers exciting attacking football: in their last 15 home Serie A matches, the team has scored more than one goal only twice, and in nine of those games, they failed to score at all. Additionally, the club has not found the net in both of their previous home league encounters against Napoli.
Napoli does not impress with high scoring, especially in away games. In their last ten away Serie A matches, Antonio Conte's team has scored more than once only twice, and in three of those games, they left the field without scoring. At the same time, the Neapolitans are very reliable in defense, conceding only five goals in their last nine away league matches.
I do not expect many goals in this encounter, so my prediction: Total under 2.5 goals
