The Ligue 1 Matchday 24 clash between Le Havre and Paris Saint-Germain will take place on 28 February at the Stade Oceane. Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Le Havre
Le Havre visited Nantes in their last match and lost 0:2 to one of the relegation candidates. Before that, the team had recorded two straight league wins, although both came at home – against Strasbourg and Toulouse (2:1 on both occasions). It is also worth noting that in their previous six Ligue 1 matches, Le Havre have conceded more than one goal only once. The club sit 13th in the standings, but have a comfortable nine-point cushion above the relegation zone. The club have also scored just 20 goals, which is the second-worst attacking record in the league.
- The team have failed to win 10 of their last 13 Ligue 1 matches (five draws and five defeats).
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in five of Le Havre's last seven league games.
- At home, the club are unbeaten in five straight Ligue 1 matches (three wins and two draws).
Potential Le Havre Lineup (4-3-3)*
Mory Diaw – Yanis Zouaoui, Timothee Pembele, Gautier Lloris, Loic Nego – Rassoul Ndiaye, Simon Ebonog, Lucas Gourna-Douath – Sofiane Boufal, Issa Soumare, Fode Doukoure.
Ruled out through injury: midfielders Etienne Kinkoue, Abdoulaye Toure and Ayumu Seko. Defender Arouna Sangante will miss the match through suspension.
Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain quickly bounced back from their Matchday 22 away defeat to Rennes (1:3). In their next league game, the side comfortably dispatched Metz at home (3:0). Interestingly, it was already their seventh big win of the current campaign. Thanks to Lens dropping points, the Parisians moved back to the top of the standings and now sit two points clear of their nearest rival. The capital club also boast the best attack in the league (52 goals) and the best defence (just 19 conceded).
- The Parisians have won eight of their last nine Ligue 1 matches.
- At least three goals have been scored in eight of Paris Saint-Germain's last nine league games.
- Both teams have scored in five of the team's last seven away Ligue 1 matches.
Potential Paris Saint-Germain Lineup (4-3-3)*
Matvey Safonov – Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez – Warren Zaire-Emery, Lee Kang-in, Dro Fernandes – Bradley Barcola, Desire Doue, Goncalo Ramos.
Forward Ousmane Dembele and Senny Mayulu remain doubts due to injury. Midfielder Quentin Ndjantu and midfielder Fabian Ruiz will be unavailable through injury.
Referee
Marc Bollengier (France)
Matches – 10 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Yellow cards per match – 4.2;
Red cards shown – 4;
Fouls per match – 27;
Penalties – 40%.
Le Havre vs Paris Saint-Germain: Match Prediction
Despite the gap in quality and their respective positions in the standings, we think the Parisians will struggle to thrash their opponents. The hosts may be down the table, but they concede very few – 1.3 goals per game on average. Only five teams in the league have a better defensive record. At home, Le Havre have conceded just 11 goals in 12 matches in the current league campaign. Overall, the club have suffered only two defeats at their own ground (five wins and five draws).
Paris Saint-Germain have posted solid away results in Ligue 1, but if they do win, it is often by a narrow margin. In their previous seven away league matches, the Parisians have not won by two or more goals on a single occasion. It is also worth adding that Le Havre have not lost by more than one goal in their last 12 home league games. Therefore, we recommend backing the hosts with a two-goal handicap.
Prediction: Le Havre (+2)
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
