The Matchday 6 fixture of the 2025/26 Conference League group stage between Lausanne (Switzerland) and Fiorentina (Italy) will take place on December 18 at the Stade de la Tuilière. Lausanne – Fiorentina: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Lausanne
The Swiss side will have been disappointed with last time out – a goalless draw away to KuPS. Lausanne have now failed to win in three consecutive Conference League matches (2 draws, 1 defeat). Moreover, the club failed to score for a second successive game in this European campaign. Lausanne sit on eight points in the group; a draw will confirm their place in the knockout phase. They also retain a good chance of progressing even if they lose, while a victory could see them secure direct qualification to the last 16 depending on other results.
- The club is unbeaten in its last five home Conference League matches (3 wins, 2 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of their 8 most recent ties in this competition.
- Lausanne have conceded no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Conference League matches.
Predicted lineup for Lausanne (4-4-2)*
Carlo Letica – Brandon Soppy, Kéven Muanga, Bryan Oko, Morgan Poaty – Gabriel Sigua, Jamie Rosh, Nathan Butler-Oyedegbe, Beatt Lekweiri – Théo Beyr, Gaoussu Diakité.
Fiorentina
Paolo Vanoli’s men overcame Dynamo Kyiv at home in the last round (2-1). That win ended a two-game losing run in the Conference League and was the side’s fifth victory in this season’s competition. Notably, Fiorentina have scored in 20 of their last 21 Conference League matches. The Italians have nine points and are well placed in the table: they have secured a place in the knockout rounds and could clinch direct qualification to the last 16 with a win or potentially even a draw depending on other results.
- The team has avoided defeat in normal time in 12 of their last 16 away Conference League matches (5 wins, 6 draws).
- They have conceded within 90 minutes in 9 of their previous 11 away fixtures in this competition.
- At least three goals were scored in 10 of Fiorentina’s last 13 Conference League matches.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)*
David de Gea – Mattia Viti, Marin Pongračić, Pietro Comuzzo – Dodô, Amir Richardson, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Sher Ndur, Niccolò FORTINI – Moise Kean, Edin Džeko.
Defenders Robin Gosens and Tarik Lamptey, and midfielder Jacopo Fazzini will miss the game through injury. Midfielder Sher Ndur is suspended.
Referee
Lothar D'hondt (Belgium)
Matches – 5 (International fixtures, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 20;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 60%.
Match prediction: Lausanne – Fiorentina
Lausanne are enjoying their first European season since 2010 and have performed admirably in this Conference League campaign, particularly on home soil: they remain unbeaten in five home matches (3 wins, 2 draws). In each of their victories during this run the side scored at least three goals.
Fiorentina’s away form is less consistent: while they often avoid defeat on the road, wins have been scarce recently. In their last 12 away Conference League matches the Italians have managed just four victories, one of which came during qualification. Their most recent away tie in this competition ended in a 2-1 loss to Bundesliga strugglers Mainz.
I think the hosts can cling on to a positive result here, especially given the turbulence around Fiorentina and internal pressure stemming from their season so far. My prediction: Lausanne to win or draw
* Each team’s starting lineup reflects its XI from the previous match in this competition.
