The Matchday 29 clash in the Bundesliga between Holstein Kiel and St. Pauli will take place on April 12 at the Holstein-Stadion. Holstein Kiel vs. St. Pauli: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Holstein Kiel
In the previous round, Marcel Rapp's team drew 1-1 away against Mainz. The side has managed just one win in their last 11 league matches (4 draws, 6 losses). However, Holstein has scored in 8 of these encounters. The club has netted 39 goals in total, the third-best among the teams in the lower half of the table. In the overall standings, the team is in last place, trailing the safe 15th spot by 8 points.
- Both teams scored in 12 of Holstein's last 15 Bundesliga matches.
- The club hasn't won at home in 5 league matches (2 draws, 3 losses).
- The team has conceded at least two goals in their last 6 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Holstein Kiel (4-4-2)
Thomas Dähne – Marco Komenda, David Zec, Nikolai Remberg, Lasse Rosenboom – Timo Becker, John Tolkin, Suto Machino, Armin Gigovic – Steven Skrzybski, Alexander Bergarsson.
Defender David Zec will miss the match due to yellow card accumulation.
St. Pauli
In the last round, the Hamburg side drew 1-1 at home against Borussia Mönchengladbach. Alexander Blessin's team has not won in 8 of their last 9 league matches (3 draws, 5 losses). However, the team has scored in their last 4 games in this tournament, marking their longest scoring streak in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. In the overall standings, the club remains in 15th place but has increased the gap from the playoff zone to 4 points.
- No more than two goals have been scored in 8 of the Hamburg side's last 9 league games.
- The team has not won in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Bundesliga (1 draw, 4 losses).
- The club conceded first in 6 of their last 8 matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for St. Pauli (3-4-3)
Nikola Vasilj – Lars Ritzka, Philipp Treu, David Nemeth – Hauke Wahl, Manolis Saliakas, Jackson Irvine, Eric Smith – Noah Weißhaupt, Danel Sinani, Elias Saad.
Forward Morgan Guilavogui and midfielder James Sands are in the club's injury list.
Referee
Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 13 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.5;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 15%.
Match Prediction: Holstein Kiel vs. St. Pauli
Marcel Rapp's side has the worst defense in the tournament. Holstein has conceded 68 goals and has kept just two clean sheets this season. However, they cannot afford to sit back in defense, as being at the bottom of the table requires them to push forward and try to collect points, especially against a similarly ranked opponent. Holstein found themselves in a similar situation less than a month ago, drawing 2-2 with Heidenheim. Additionally, Rapp's side has conceded at least two goals in their last 6 home league matches.
The Hamburg side has been modest in attack, but St. Pauli seems to be improving their finishing. This is evidenced by their record goal-scoring streak in the current championship. I believe Alexander Blessin's side will manage to score at least once in the upcoming game. Holstein will likely seek opportunities upfront, leaving gaps in their defense.
My prediction: St. Pauli Individual Total Over 1
