The Matchday 29 clash in the Bundesliga between Hoffenheim and Mainz will take place on April 12 at the PreZero Arena in Sinsheim. Hoffenheim vs. Mainz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Hoffenheim
In the previous round, the team from Sinsheim suffered a 1-3 away defeat to Leipzig, extending their winless streak in the league to four matches (2 draws, 2 losses). Christian Ilzer's side is struggling defensively, having kept a clean sheet in only one of their last 18 Bundesliga games. Hoffenheim has conceded 52 goals this season, a tally surpassed only by the league's bottom three teams. They currently sit 14th in the standings, five points clear of the relegation playoff zone.
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of Hoffenheim's last 6 league matches.
- The team has failed to win any of their last 8 home games in the Bundesliga (5 draws, 3 losses).
- Hoffenheim conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Hoffenheim (4-4-2)
Oliver Baumann – Arthur Chaves, Valantin Jandre, Stanley Nsoki, Leo Estigor – Anton Stach, Andrej Kramaric, Tom Bischof, Marius Bulter – Haris Tabakovic, Bazumana Toure.
Defender Leo Estigor will miss the match due to a suspension from the previous round.
Mainz
In the last round, the team shared points at home with Holstein Kiel (1-1). Mainz is winless in three league matches (2 draws, 1 loss), equaling their longest winless run in the 2024/25 Bundesliga season. However, Bo Henriksen's side has scored in seven consecutive games in the tournament. Despite this rough patch, the team remains in the Champions League zone.
- Both teams scored in Mainz's last 5 league matches.
- The team has conceded at least one goal in 8 of their last 9 away Bundesliga matches.
- Mainz has not lost to Sinsheim in 8 of their last 9 head-to-head encounters in this tournament (6 wins, 2 draws).
Predicted lineup for Mainz (5-4-1)
Robin Zentner – Anthony Caci, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Philipp Mwene – Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung – Jonathan Burkardt.
Midfielder Nadiem Amiri will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards.
Referee
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 25%.
Match Prediction: Hoffenheim vs. Mainz
Bo Henriksen's side boasts the second-most reliable defense in the tournament, but it has faltered recently. Mainz has failed to keep a clean sheet in five consecutive Bundesliga matches, matching their longest streak of conceding goals this season. However, they have also scored in each of these games.
Hoffenheim has also been involved in high-scoring games, with both teams scoring in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches. During this period, Christian Ilzer's team only failed to score against St. Pauli, who have the third-best defense in the tournament. Conversely, they only kept a clean sheet against Bochum, one of the league's lowest-scoring teams.
Additionally, both teams scored in 11 of Hoffenheim's last 14 home matches in the 2024/25 Bundesliga. This is another factor supporting the prediction: Both teams to score – yes
