The Matchday 13 Bundesliga fixture between Hamburg and Werder will take place on December 7 at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg – Werder: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's side were stronger than Stuttgart at home in the last round (2-1). As a result, Hamburg ended a five-match winless run in the Bundesliga (1 draw, 4 defeats). It was only the third time this season the club have scored more than one goal in a league game. The team have 12 points and sit 13th in the table. Also note that Hamburg have scored just 11 goals in the current Bundesliga campaign and are ahead of only one club in that statistic.
- Hamburg are unbeaten in 7 of their last 9 Bundesliga home matches (6 wins, 1 draw).
- The club have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 12 of their previous 15 home matches in this competition.
- No more than three goals were scored in 15 of the team's last 17 home Bundesliga fixtures.
Probable Hamburg lineup (3-4-3)
Daniel Heuer – Jordan Torunarigha, Miro Muheim, Luka Vuskovic – Alexander Rössing-Lelesiit, Nikolai Remberg, Albert Sambi Lokonga, William Mikelbransis – Ryan Philipp, Robert Glatzel, Nicolas Capaldo.
Defender Varmed Omari and striker Robert Glatzel will miss the game through injury. Defender Alexander Rössing-Lelesiit is suspended.
Werder
Horst Steffen's side drew 1-1 with Cologne at home in the last round. As a result, Werder are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 league matches (3 wins, 3 draws). However, the team have scored more than one goal in only 2 of their last 9 Bundesliga fixtures. Bremen sit ninth in the table with 16 points.
- The club are unbeaten in 8 of their last 11 Bundesliga away matches (5 wins, 3 draws).
- At least four goals were scored in 6 of the team's previous 8 away league fixtures.
- Werder failed to score in the first half in 5 of their last 6 away Bundesliga matches.
Probable Werder lineup (4-5-1)
Mio Backhaus – Amos Pieper, Marco Friedl, Karim Koulibaly, Yukinari Sugawara – Jens Stage, Senne Lynen, Romano Schmid, Cameron Puertas, Kéḱe Topp – Marco Grüll.
Defenders Felix Agu, Olivier Deman, Maximilian Weber and Mitchell Weiser will miss the game through injury.
Referee
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches – 5 (Bundesliga, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 17;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 40%.
Prediction for Hamburg – Werder
At home, Hamburg have established themselves as a side that prefers to play on the front foot rather than sit deep. Across their last ten Bundesliga home games in this competition, the club failed to score only twice. On the other hand, their defence has been prone to errors: in the same period Hamburg kept just two clean sheets.
Werder are very effective in attack on the road and score frequently. In their last 11 away league matches the team failed to score on just two occasions, and in seven of those games Bremen found the net at least twice. However, their defence is far from watertight: they have conceded 17 goals in their last nine Bundesliga away fixtures.
I expect this to be an open game with goals at both ends. My prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* Each team's listed starting XI refers to their previous match in this competition.
