The Bundesliga matchday 24 fixture between Hamburger SV and RasenBallsport Leipzig will take place on 1 March at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hamburger SV
The draw in last round’s clash with Mainz (1:1) was Hamburger SV’s eighth in the current campaign and the sixth straight game in which the team have managed to pick up points (2 wins, 4 draws). After 22 matches, the club sit 11th in the Bundesliga standings with 26 points. Matches involving the home side can hardly be described as entertaining. Across those same 22 fixtures, the team have scored just 25 goals – the fourth-worst tally in the league. That said, Hamburger SV’s home record stands out noticeably against their overall numbers. On their own ground, they have been far more consistent: from 11 matches – only 2 defeats (5 wins, 4 draws).
In 9 of their previous 11 league matches, the team have scored at least 1 goal.
Across their last 7 home Bundesliga games, Hamburger SV have not suffered a single defeat (3 wins, 4 draws).
Both teams have scored in 6 of the club’s previous 7 home matches in this competition.
Potential Hamburger SV Lineup (3-4-2-1)*
Daniel Heuer Fernandes – Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Jordan Torunarigha – Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nikolai Remberg, Miro Muheim – Ransford-Yeboah Konigsdorffer, Philipp Otele – Robert Glatzel
Forwards Fabio Balde, Albert Gronbaek, Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit, as well as midfielders Bakery Jatta and Albert Sambi Lokonga, will miss the match through injury.
RasenBallsport Leipzig
In last round’s match against Borussia Dortmund, neither side could find a winner – the game finished 2:2. After that result, the club remained in fifth place in the German top flight. The team are two points off the European places, while the nearest chaser is also two points behind. It is worth noting that Ole Werner’s men have just one win in their last five Bundesliga matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), but the club have scored in every game during that spell.
In RasenBallsport Leipzig’s last 5 league matches, both teams have scored.
Across their previous 6 away Bundesliga games, the club have managed only 2 wins (2 draws, 2 defeats).
The team have scored in 9 of 11 away matches this season.
Potential RasenBallsport Leipzig Lineup (4-3-3)*
Peter Gulacsi – Max Finkgrafe, Nicolas Seiwald, Willi Orban, Benjamin Henrichs – Xaver Schlager, Christoph Baumgartner, Bryan Gruda – Konrad Harder, Antonio Nusa, Yan Diomande.
Forward Johan Bakayoko, goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi and midfielder Assan Ouedraogo are injured.
Referee
Bastian Dankert (Germany)
Matches – 8 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 26;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 25%.
Hamburger SV vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: Match Prediction
Hamburger SV have been producing steady results at their home ground, even against more illustrious opponents. In matchday 10, the team shared the points with Borussia Dortmund (1:1), and they also earned a high-scoring draw against Bayern Munich (2:2). Overall, the club’s home numbers look solid. After 11 matches on their own pitch, Hamburger SV have suffered only two defeats. Moreover, the first setback came back in matchday 2, while the second was by the narrowest of margins. The team’s defensive reliability also deserves special mention. In all home matches of the 2025/26 season, the hosts have never conceded more than 2 goals, including games against sides from the top end of the table.
RasenBallsport Leipzig’s away record looks respectable at first glance: the club have avoided defeat in 8 of 11 matches (5 wins, 3 draws). But a closer look changes the picture. Most of those wins came against relegation strugglers, and there have been only two genuinely big successes: a thrashing of bottom club Heidenheim and Augsburg back in matchday 8. Meanwhile, Ole Werner’s side have failed to score more than 2 goals in five straight Bundesliga games.
Taking all of the above into account, it is unlikely that the hosts will allow RasenBallsport Leipzig to create many clear-cut chances.
Prediction: RasenBallsport Leipzig, under 2 goals
* For each team, the starting XI listed is the lineup from their previous match in this competition.
