The rescheduled matchday 17 Bundesliga fixture between Hamburg and Bayer Leverkusen will take place on 4 March at the Volksparkstadion. Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Hamburg
Merlin Polzin's men were second best against RB Leipzig in their home match last time out (1:2). As a result, Hamburg have failed to win eight of their last 10 league games (five draws, three defeats). However, the home side have extended their scoring run in the Bundesliga to five matches. The club have 26 points on the board and sit 11th in the standings.
- The team have avoided defeat in seven of their last eight home matches in the Bundesliga (three wins, four draws).
- Both teams have scored in seven of the club's previous eight home league games.
- The hosts have conceded at home in eight of their last nine matches in this competition.
Potential Hamburg Lineup (3-4-3)*
Daniel Heuer – Jordan Torunarigha, Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic – Ransford Konigsdorffer, Nikolai Remberg, Villy Mikelbrencis, Miro Muheim – Fabio Vieira, Damion Downs, Philip Otele.
Forwards Albert Gronbaek and Alexander Rossing-Lelesiit will miss the match through injury.
Bayer Leverkusen
Kasper Hjulmand's side were held at home by Mainz last time out (1:1). As a result, Bayer Leverkusen have avoided defeat in five of their last six Bundesliga matches (three wins, two draws). However, they have kept just one clean sheet during that run. The visitors have collected 40 points and are sixth in the table, while the gap to the Champions League places has grown to six points.
- The club have not conceded more than one goal in seven straight league matches.
- Bayer Leverkusen have avoided defeat in 41 of their previous 45 away matches in the Bundesliga (28 wins, 13 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in five of Bayer Leverkusen's last seven matches in this competition.
Potential Bayer Leverkusen Lineup (3-4-3)*
Janis Blaswich – Jarell Quansah, Robert Andrich, Edmond Tapsoba – Ignacio Fernandez, Jonas Hofmann, Arthur, Alejandro Grimaldo – Exequiel Palacios, Patrik Schick, Ernest Poku.
Goalkeeper Mark Flekken and forward Nathan Tella are injured.
Referee
Robert Braun (Germany)
Matches officiated – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 28;
Yellow cards per match (average) – 4;
Red cards shown – 2;
Fouls per match (average) – 18;
Penalties – 71%.
Hamburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: Match Prediction
Since returning to the Bundesliga, the hosts have looked fairly confident on home soil and try to play on the front foot, creating as many dangerous moments as possible in the final third. Across their last eight home league matches, the team have left the pitch without scoring only once, and in four of those games they have netted at least twice. At the same time, the club have not looked particularly reliable at the back: in eight of their previous nine home Bundesliga matches, Hamburg have conceded.
The visitors do not abandon their attacking approach even on the road and continue to post strong scoring numbers. In their last 18 away league matches, they have failed to find the net only four times, with one such game coming against Bayern Munich. Moreover, in 11 matches during that period, the club have scored at least two goals. On the other hand, across their previous 14 away Bundesliga fixtures, Bayer Leverkusen have not kept a single clean sheet.
We are expecting both teams to be efficient in the final third.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting XI from their previous match in this competition is listed.
