Greece vs England: betting odds 14 Nov 2024

The Matchday 5 clash in the Nations League between Greece and England in Group 2 of League B will take place on November 14 at the Spiros Louis Stadium in Athens. Greece vs. England: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Referee: Daniel Siebert (Germany)

Matches – 16 (International matches, 2023–2024);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 91;

Average yellow cards per match – 5.7;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 38%.

Predicted lineups for Greece vs. England

Greece (4-2-3-1): Odysseas Vlachodimos – Konstantinos Mavropanos, Kostas Koulierakis, Dimitris Giannoulis, Lazaros Rota – Manolis Siopis, Dimitris Pelkas – Georgios Masouras, Anastasios Bakasetas, Christos Tzolis – Vangelis Pavlidis.

England (4-3-3): Jordan Pickford – Marc Guehi, Valentino Livramento, Kyle Walker, Rico Lewis – Conor Gallagher, Angel Gomes, Curtis Jones – Jarrod Bowen, Anthony Gordon, Jude Bellingham.

Greece

The Greeks confidently lead Group 2, having won all four matches. Notably, three of these victories came with a clean sheet, and the only goal conceded by Ivan Jovanovic's team was away in England (2-1). In the top two leagues of the tournament, only Spain boasts such a defensive record (also one goal conceded). If Greece avoids defeat in this match, they will secure promotion to League A.

Midfielder Dimitrios Kourbelis will miss the match due to suspension.

• The team has suffered only one defeat in their last 16 Nations League matches (12 wins, 3 draws).
• At least one team failed to score in 12 of Greece's last 14 games in this tournament.
• Exactly two or three goals were scored in 6 of Greece's last 8 Nations League encounters.

England

Lee Carsley's side defeated Finland 3-1 away in the previous round. This was their third victory in the current Nations League campaign. Due to their sole defeat to Greece, the team occupies second place in Group 2. To maintain a chance of returning to League A, England needs a win in the upcoming match. A draw would guarantee second place in the group, leading to additional playoff matches with one of the second-placed teams from League A for the right to play in the elite division in the next tournament.

Lee Carsley will lead the team for the November matches, after which Thomas Tuchel will take over as head coach, with his contract starting on January 1, 2025.

• England has failed to win 7 of their last 10 Nations League matches (3 draws, 4 losses).
• At least one team failed to score in 9 of England's last 13 games in this tournament.
• The team conceded in 5 of their last 6 away matches in the Nations League.

Greece vs. England: Match Prediction

Despite Greece leading the group and having defeated England on their home turf, the visitors are the favorites for the upcoming match. However, I believe the hosts have every opportunity to at least avoid defeat and secure their place in League A. Greece currently boasts an excellent team that has not lost at the official level in seven matches (5 wins, 2 draws). Moreover, the Greeks have conceded just one goal in their last six official matches.

The last time Greece lost at home by a margin of two or more goals was in June 2019 against Italy. Since then, the team has played 21 official home matches, losing only three times (all defeats were by a single goal). In the Nations League, Greece has only one defeat by two goals. Meanwhile, England has won only two away matches in this tournament by more than one goal.

I anticipate the hosts will focus on not conceding and play very cautiously in defense. To some extent, a narrow defeat would suit Greece, as they have a much better goal difference. It is unlikely that England will secure a convincing victory in Athens.

My prediction: Greece with a handicap (+1)