Matchday 16 of La Liga between Girona and Real Madrid will take place on December 7 at the Montilivi Stadium. Girona vs. Real Madrid: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Referee: Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
Matches – 7 (La Liga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 49;
Average yellow cards per match – 7;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 43%.
Predicted lineups for Girona vs. Real Madrid
Girona (4-5-1): Paulo Gazzaniga – Miguel Gutierrez, Ladislav Krejci, David Lopez, Arnau Martinez – Oriol Romeu, Donny van de Beek, Ivan Martin, Bryan Gil, Arnaut Danjuma – Bojan Miovski.
Real Madrid (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois – Lucas Vazquez, Raul Asensio, Fran Garcia, Antonio Rudiger – Federico Valverde, Dani Ceballos, Jude Bellingham, Aurelien Tchouameni – Rodrygo Goes, Kylian Mbappe.
Each team's starting lineup is listed from their previous match in this tournament.
Girona
The Catalans are unbeaten in La Liga for four matches, a streak they haven't achieved since May this year. The team secured three wins before drawing away with Villarreal (2-2), avoiding defeat in stoppage time. These results have lifted Michel Sanchez's side to eighth place.
Midfielders Viktor Tsygankov and Yangel Herrera will miss the game due to injuries.
- The number "1" appeared in the final score of 6 of Girona's last 8 games in La Liga.
- In 36 previous home matches in La Liga, the Catalans have suffered only 4 first-half defeats (16 wins and 16 draws).
- At least three goals were scored in 6 of the club's last 8 home league games.
Real Madrid
Madrid missed the chance to narrow the gap to Barcelona to a minimum. After losing to Athletic (1-2) in the last round, the capital club now trails the leader by four points, with a game in hand. Notably, before the match against the Basques, Real had three consecutive league wins, all with clean sheets. Carlo Ancelotti's side averages two goals per game, the second-best attack in the league (only Barcelona has a better attack with three goals).
Defenders David Alaba, Dani Carvajal, and Eder Militao, along with forward Vinicius Junior and midfielder Eduardo Camavinga, will miss this match due to injuries.
- In 6 of the club's last 8 games in La Liga, exactly two or three goals were scored.
- Real scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 12 La Liga matches.
- Madrid did not concede in the first half of their last five away league matches.
Girona vs. Real Madrid: Match Prediction
Last season, the Catalans played very entertaining football, competing with Real for the championship title for a long time, and although they couldn't keep up, they still finished in a high third place. However, even in the last edition, Girona lost both head-to-head meetings, with heavy defeats of 0-3 and 0-4. In the current championship, the Catalans have a much weaker squad, so I am confident that Michel Sanchez's side will lose again to the capital club.
Overall, Girona is much more dangerous at Montilivi than away. But even at home, they lost to Real Sociedad (0-1) and Barcelona (1-4) this season. It's challenging for the Catalans to play against strong opponents this season. Real cannot afford to drop points in a second consecutive league match. Madrid could fall further behind Barcelona. The club is strong even on the road, where they were unbeaten in 21 consecutive La Liga matches (13 wins and 8 draws) before facing Athletic.
My prediction – Real Madrid win
