The second leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League 2025/26 qualifying playoff between Fiorentina (Italy) and Polissya (Ukraine) will be held on August 28 at the Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emilia. The first match ended 3-0 in favor of Fiorentina. Fiorentina vs. Polissya: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Fiorentina
In the first match, the Italian side confidently defeated their opponent with a resounding 3-0 victory, despite playing more than half the match with ten men. This marked their second consecutive win in the Conference League and the first time in eight games in this European competition that they kept a clean sheet. To advance to the main stage of the tournament, the club only needs to avoid losing by more than two goals over 90 minutes. Notably, Fiorentina has reached at least the semi-finals in each of their last three Conference League campaigns.
- The team has won in regular time in 6 of their last 8 home matches in the Conference League.
- The club has scored at least twice in 90 minutes in the last 8 home games in this European competition.
- The Italians have conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in regular time in 4 of their last 5 home games in the Conference League.
Predicted lineup for Fiorentina (3-5-2)
David De Gea – Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Luca Ranieri – Dodo, Nicolo Fagioli, Albert Gudmundsson, Simon Zom, Robin Gosens – Sher Ndur, Moise Kean.
Forward Moise Kean will not play due to suspension.
Polissya
After losing the first match, the team suffered their fifth defeat in seven Conference League games. Additionally, Polissya conceded more than two goals for the first time in this European competition and failed to score for only the second time in their Conference League history. To advance to the main stage of the tournament, the Ukrainian side needs to win by at least four goals over 90 minutes, with a three-goal victory leading to extra time. It should be noted that Polissya has never participated in the main draw of any European competition before.
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in the team's last 6 Conference League matches.
- The club has conceded in 6 of their last 7 games in this European competition.
- The Ukrainians have scored in the second half in 3 of their last 4 Conference League matches.
Predicted lineup for Polissya (4-3-3)
Oleh Kudryk – Nikita Kravchenko, Serhiy Chobotenko, Eduard Sarapiy, Serhiy Korniychuk – Bohdan Lednev, Ruslan Babenko, Oleksandr Andriievskyi – Oleksii Hutsulyak, Oleksandr Filippov, Oleksandr Nazarenko.
Referee
Ricardo de Burgos (Spain)
Matches – 9 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 23;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.6;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 44%.
Fiorentina vs. Polissya: Match Prediction
Fiorentina is very confident on their home turf in European competitions, often delighting fans with their attacking play. In their last eight home matches in the Conference League, Fiorentina has never scored less than two goals, and in five instances during this period, they have scored at least three times. However, the club's focus on offense often leaves their defense vulnerable, as they have kept a clean sheet in only two of their last eight home games in the Conference League.
Polissya also tends to play offensively, rarely sitting back in their own penalty area. In their last six Conference League matches, the club has failed to score only once, and in this tournament's current edition, the Ukrainians have netted nine goals against their opponents. However, their defensive play leaves much to be desired, as they have conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 matches in this European competition.
I expect to see an open game in this encounter, so my prediction: Total over 3
