The Matchday 16 Premier League fixture between Burnley and Fulham will take place on December 13 at Turf Moor. Burnley v Fulham: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Burnley
The Clarets lost 1-2 away to Newcastle in the last round, marking Scott Parker's side's sixth successive league defeat. In only one game during that run did Burnley concede fewer than two goals, and the team have failed to keep a clean sheet in seven consecutive Premier League matches. They have shipped 30 goals this season, a tally only worseed by Wolverhampton (33). Burnley sit 19th in the table, five points adrift of the safety of 17th.
- The club has conceded first in five of their last six Premier League matches.
- At Turf Moor, Burnley have failed to win five of their last six league fixtures (1 draw, 4 defeats).
- In five of their last six home league games the club have failed to score more than one goal.
Probable Burnley XI (4-3-3)
Martin Dubravka – Hjalmar Ekdal, Kyle Walker, Lucas Pires, Maxim Esteve – Leslie Ugochukwu, Florentin, Josh Cullen – Lyle Foster, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Armando Broja.
The club are missing forward Zeki Amdouni, defender Connor Roberts and midfielder Luis Bayer through injury. Midfielder Aníbal Mejbri is suspended for four matches, while defenders Kyle Walker and Lucas Pires are suspended for one match apiece.
Fulham
The Cottagers were beaten 1-2 at home by Crystal Palace in the last round, their eighth defeat of the campaign (5 wins, 2 draws). Marco Silva's side have managed to score in four consecutive league matches, matching the club's best scoring run this season, yet with 20 goals overall they sit only above five sides in the division. Fulham occupy 15th place, four points clear of the relegation zone.
- The team's inconsistency in the Premier League stretches to 13 matches (5 wins, 8 defeats).
- At least three goals have been scored in five of Fulham's last seven league games.
- In five of their last six away fixtures in this competition the Londoners have conceded at least two goals.
Probable Fulham XI (4-5-1)
Bernd Leno – Timothy Castagne, Kenny Tete, Joachim Andersen, Kelvin Bassey – Samuel Chukwueze, Sander Berge, Harry Wilson, Emil Smith-Rowe, Alex Iwobi – Raul Jimenez.
Midfielder Ryan Sessegnon and forward Rodrigo Muniz will miss the game through injury.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 12 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 29;
Average yellow cards per match – 2.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 8%.
Prediction for Burnley v Fulham
Burnley's precarious league position means they must scrap for points, and I expect Scott Parker's side to try and play with some attacking intent. Despite a modest goalscoring record, Burnley are creating chances and sit in the top 10 for xG. The Turf Moor crowd will be eager for goals after a barren run at home, and the opposition's defence looks more beatable than recent top-four opponents.
Fulham, meanwhile, have been unable to keep clean sheets across 15 consecutive Premier League away matches, and in five of their seven away games this season they have conceded at least twice. They can cause problems themselves — scoring eight goals in their last four league fixtures — and Burnley's league-worst xGA suggests they may struggle to withstand Fulham's attacking threats.
My prediction: Both teams to score – yes
* The starting XI shown for each team is the side that started their last match in this competition.
