The Matchday 28 Premier League fixture between Burnley and Brentford will take place on 28 February at Turf Moor. Burnley vs Brentford: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Burnley
Despite the fact that the team played both of their previous league matches away from home, they managed to add to their points tally. First, the club beat Crystal Palace (3:2), and then unexpectedly drew with Chelsea (1:1). At the same time, it is worth noting that the win over the Eagles is Burnley’s only victory in their last 18 Premier League matches (6 draws and 11 defeats). As before, the team sit in the bottom three, trailing the safety of 17th place by eight points. The club also remain the worst side defensively, having conceded 52 goals.
- Both teams scored in five of the team’s previous seven Premier League games.
- Burnley have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last nine league matches.
- On home soil, the club are on a nine-match winless run in the Premier League (3 draws and 6 defeats).
Potential Burnley Lineup (4-5-1)*
Martin Dubravka – Maxime Esteve, Joe Worrall, Josh Laurent, Kyle Walker – Hannibal Mejbri, Lesley Ugochukwu, Bashir Humphreys, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony – Zian Flemming.
Forwards Armando Broja and Zeki Amdouni, defenders Axel Tuanzebe and Connor Roberts, and midfielders Mike Tresor, Josh Cullen and Louis Bayer are all in the club’s treatment room.
Brentford
The Londoners, meanwhile, played their last two league matches at home, but only disappointed. While they initially managed to draw with Arsenal (1:1), it was followed by a frustrating 0:2 defeat to Brighton. Prior to that loss, the club had gone three straight Premier League games without defeat (2 wins and 1 draw). Brentford remain among the contenders for European qualification – they are five points adrift of the top five. Interestingly, the team have just four draws and, together with Fulham, are the Premier League’s most uncompromising side this season.
- Exactly two or three goals were scored in five of the Londoners’ previous seven league games.
- At least one of the two teams failed to score in five of Brentford’s last seven Premier League matches.
- The club have not drawn away from home in the 2025/26 Premier League season – 5 wins and 8 defeats.
Potential Brentford Lineup (4-2-3-1)*
Caoimhin Kelleher – Rico Henry, Sepp van den Berg, Kristoffer Ajer, Aaron Hickey – Vitaly Janelt, Jordan Henderson – Dango Ouattara, Keane Lewis-Potter, Mathias Jensen – Igor Thiago.
Midfielders Fabio Carvalho and Antoni Milambo have been ruled out for the rest of the season. Midfielder Joshua Dasilva is also continuing his recovery from injury.
Referee
Sam Barrott (England)
Matches – 16 (Premier League, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 55;
Yellow cards per match – 3.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 31%.
Burnley vs Brentford: Match Prediction
The Londoners are clearly lacking consistency. They can produce an excellent performance against one of the league leaders, only to then drop points against a relegation struggler. This match will not be a walk in the park either, as the hosts desperately need wins right now to close the gap to the safety of 17th place. At the same time, we do not think Burnley will claim victory, with the home team winless at their own ground since November last year. However, we should expect both teams to score.
The hosts have found the net in three of their last four Premier League matches. However, Burnley have conceded in nine of their last 10 home league games. Brentford have scored in four of their last five away matches in the Premier League. At the same time, the club have conceded in seven of their last nine away league fixtures. Incidentally, in the last two head-to-head meetings at Turf Moor in the league, Burnley won and both teams scored.
Prediction: Both teams to score – Yes
* For each team, the starting line-up listed is from their previous match in this competition.
