The FA Cup quarter-final match between Brighton and Nottingham Forest will take place on March 29 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Brighton
Fabian Hurzeler's side had an easy start to the new FA Cup campaign, thrashing Norwich 4-0 away. However, they then faced Premier League representatives who are higher in the table. First, the club defeated Chelsea at home (2-1), and then overcame Newcastle, beating the English League Cup winner on their turf (1-1, extra time 1-0). Notably, this is the third time in six years that the team has reached this stage of the tournament, having previously made it to the semi-finals twice, where they lost to Manchester clubs.
- The club has not lost in regular time in 10 of their last 11 FA Cup matches (8 wins and 2 draws).
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Brighton's last 9 home matches in this tournament.
- The team has scored at least two goals in regular time in 9 of their last 11 home games in the FA Cup.
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Adam Webster, Pervis Estupinan – Carlos Baleba, Jack Hinshelwood – Yasin Ayari, Kaoru Mitoma, Jorginho Rutter – Joao Pedro.
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham, on the other hand, struggled to get to this round of the tournament, facing weaker opponents. Nuno Espirito Santo's charges first overcame Luton Town (2-0) and then only managed to get past Exeter City and Ipswich thanks to their better penalty shootout performance. Interestingly, this is only the second time this century that the club has reached the FA Cup quarter-finals, with the previous occasion being in the 2021/22 season when they lost to Liverpool 0-1 at this stage.
- Nottingham Forest has not lost in regular time in 7 of their last 8 matches in this tournament (1 win and 6 draws).
- No more than two goals have been scored in 5 of the club's last 6 FA Cup games.
- Nottingham has conceded at least two goals in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Nottingham Forest (4-2-3-1)
Matz Sels – Ola Aina, Murillo, Morato, Alex Moreno – Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira, Ryan Yates – Anthony Elanga, Ibrahim Sangare, Callum Hudson-Odoi – Taiwo Awoniyi.
Referee
Peter Bankes (England)
Matches – 21 (Premier League, FA Cup, and English League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 81;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 14%.
Brighton vs. Nottingham Forest: Match Prediction
In early February, Nottingham dealt a very painful defeat to Brighton in the league, thrashing their opponent 7-0. The first-round game in September was also high-scoring, ending in a draw at the Amex (2-2). It is also worth noting that at least four goals have been scored in 4 of the last 5 Premier League encounters between these teams.
Moreover, matches between these teams in the FA Cup are also noted for their high-scoring nature. Brighton has scored at least two goals in regular time in 5 of their last 6 home games in this tournament. Conversely, Nottingham Forest has not won in regular time in 11 of their last away FA Cup matches, conceding at least two goals in regular time in 8 of their last 9 away games in this tournament.
My prediction – Total over 2.5 goals
