Matchday 6 of the 2024/25 Champions League group stage between Brest (France) and PSV (Netherlands) will take place on December 10 at the Stade du Roudourou in Guingamp. Brest vs. PSV: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez (Spain)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 61;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.1;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 26;
Penalties – 17%.
Predicted lineups for Brest vs. PSV
Brest (4-5-1): Marco Bizot – Massadio Haidara, Julien Le Cardinal, Brendan Chardonnet, Edimilson Fernandes – Mahdi Camara, Hugo Magnetti, Mama Balde, Kamory Doumbia, Mathias Pereira Lage – Ludovic Ajorque.
PSV (4-3-3): Walter Benitez – Matteo Dams, Ryan Flamingo, Olivier Boscagli, Mauro Junior – Guus Til, Malik Tillman, Ismael Saibari – Johan Bakayoko, Luuk de Jong, Noa Lang.
Brest
The French side faced Barcelona away in the last round and unsurprisingly lost 0-3. This was the team's first defeat in the Champions League. Before that, Eric Roy's team had secured three wins and one draw. After losing to the Spaniards, Brest dropped out of the top eight, falling to 11th place.
Forward Ludovic Ajorque will miss the match due to an accumulation of yellow cards. The club's injury list includes midfielders Pierre Lees-Melou, Romain Faivre, Jonas Martin, and defenders Bradley Locko and Soumaila Coulibaly.
- In their last five matches in the Champions League and Ligue 1, the French team lost four times, securing only one victory.
- At least three goals were scored in Brest's last six matches in the Champions League and Ligue 1.
- The club has not lost at home in 7 of their last 8 matches in the league and European competition (5 wins and 2 draws).
PSV
The Dutch team only lost in the first round of the Champions League group stage to Juventus away, with a score of 1-3. Since then, they haven't lost, collecting 8 points and climbing to 18th place. Their rise in the standings was gradual: first, there were draws with Sporting and PSG (both 1-1), followed by home victories over Girona (4-0) and Shakhtar (3-2). It's worth noting that PSV has only lost twice in their last 12 matches in this tournament (4 wins and 6 draws).
Due to injuries, forwards Fode Fofana and Kouhaib Driouech are out of action.
- Both teams scored in 7 of PSV's last 9 Champions League games.
- In PSV's last nine matches in this European competition, fewer than two goals were not scored.
- One team won with a clean sheet in the first half in 10 of the club's previous Champions League matches.
Brest vs. PSV: Match Prediction
In the upcoming match, I give a slight edge to the visitors. Although the French team is higher in the table and has two more points, I believe they will gradually slip down. They had a favorable schedule in the first four rounds, and as soon as they faced a strong opponent (Barcelona), Brest crumbled. Additionally, the club is experiencing issues in their domestic league, where they are already in the lower half of the table, having collected only three points in the last five rounds.
PSV has extensive European competition experience. The club has only lost three times in their last 17 Champions League matches, and those were to strong opponents – Juventus, Borussia Dortmund, and Arsenal. They also have excellent records in the Eredivisie, winning 15 of their last 16 matches. It's important to note PSV's scoring prowess – they have scored at least twice in their last 16 league games and have found the net in 11 of their last 12 Champions League matches.
My prediction – PSV with a handicap (0)
