The Matchday 18 Bundesliga fixture between Borussia Dortmund and St. Pauli will take place on 17 January at the Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: prediction, betting odds and statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
In the previous round, Niko Kovac's side thrashed Werder Bremen 3:0 at home. As a result, Borussia Dortmund's unbeaten run in the league has reached 10 matches (6 wins, 4 draws), while the hosts have found the net in 25 straight games in this competition. At the same time, Borussia Dortmund have lacked defensive solidity of late: they have managed to keep a clean sheet in only two of their last eight Bundesliga fixtures. Even so, the club still lead the league for the number of shutouts – nine. In the overall standings, the team sit second.
- A goal in both halves has been scored in seven of Borussia Dortmund's previous league matches.
- On home soil in this tournament, Borussia Dortmund have won 10 of their last 12 matches (2 draws).
- In four of their last five home Bundesliga games, the team have not conceded a single goal.
Potential Borussia Dortmund Lineup (3-4-3)*
Gregor Kobel – Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton, Nico Schlotterbeck – Carney Chukwuemeka, Felix Nmecha, Marcel Sabitzer, Julian Ryerson – Yan Couto, Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beier, Fabio Silva.
Defender Aaron Anselmino is injured.
St. Pauli
In the previous round, Alexander Blessin's men lost 2:1 away to Wolfsburg. That defeat was the team's first in their last four league matches (1 win, 2 draws), meaning the away side were unable to set a new club record for the length of their unbeaten run in the current campaign. It is also worth noting that St. Pauli have scored in four of their last five Bundesliga games. In the table, the club are 17th, three points adrift of 15th place, which would ensure survival.
- The team have conceded first in 11 of their previous 14 Bundesliga matches.
- Away from home, the Hamburg club are without a win in eight straight league matches (2 draws, 6 defeats).
- In four of St. Pauli's last five away games in this tournament, they have scored exactly one goal.
Potential St. Pauli Lineup (3-5-2)*
Nikola Vasilj – Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Hauke Wahl – Arkadiusz Pyrka, Eric Smith, James Sands, Joel Chima Fujita, Lars Ritzka – Mathias Pereira Lage, Ricky-Jade Jones.
Defender David Nemeth and midfielder Jackson Irvine are injured.
Referee
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 7 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 25;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 19;
Penalties – 57%.
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Match Prediction
Borussia Dortmund have produced excellent results at home, winning nine of their last 11 Bundesliga matches (2 draws). In the current campaign, Niko Kovac's side have dropped points on their own patch only against Stuttgart and Leipzig, who are in the Champions League places. The team have also delighted the fans with their attacking output, scoring at least two goals in six of their last seven games in this tournament.
It will be difficult for the visitors to contain such an attack. The team also struggle against far less formidable opponents. Across St. Pauli's last 14 Bundesliga matches, Alexander Blessin's men have managed to keep only one clean sheet, and that came against Mainz, who are battling for survival. With numbers like these, the club find it hard to pick up points, especially away from home. Their only away win in the current league season came on Matchday 1, but even that is conditional: the opponents in that game were city rivals Hamburg. In their other eight away fixtures, St. Pauli have suffered six defeats.
Prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win + Over 1.5 goals
* For each team, the starting XI from its previous match in this tournament is listed.
