The Matchday 27 Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Mainz will take place on March 30 at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
In the previous round, Dortmund suffered a 0-2 defeat away to Leipzig. This loss marked their fourth in the last six league matches (2 wins), with Nico Kovac's side failing to score in three of those losses. However, the team has scored 45 goals, the second-best among the lower half of the table, where Borussia currently sits in 11th place.
- At least one opponent has failed to score in Dortmund's last 5 league matches.
- The team has failed to win in 6 of their last 7 home Bundesliga games (3 draws, 3 losses).
- Dortmund has scored exactly 1 or 2 goals in 5 of their last 7 home games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Julian Ryerson, Emre Can, Nico Schlotterbeck, Waldemar Anton – Maximilian Beyer, Julian Brandt, Pascal Gross, Marcel Sabitzer, Karim Adeyemi – Serhou Guirassy.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer is injured.
Mainz
In the previous round, Mainz drew 2-2 at home with Freiburg, extending their unbeaten run in the league to six matches (4 wins, 2 draws). Notably, Bo Henriksen's side has scored at least two goals in five consecutive matches in this tournament. The club is currently third in the standings, with only Bayern Munich conceding fewer goals (24) than Mainz (28).
- The team has scored first in 4 of their last 5 league matches.
- Mainz has not drawn in their last 9 away Bundesliga games (5 wins, 4 losses).
- The club has not conceded more than one goal in 6 of their last 7 away games in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Mainz (3-4-3)
Robin Zentner – Philipp Mwene, Moritz Jenz, Danny da Costa – Dominik Kohr, Nadiem Amiri, Kaishu Sano, Anthony Caci – Jonathan Burkardt, Paul Nebel, Lee Jae-sung.
Defender Dominik Kohr is suspended.
Referee
Daniel Schlager (Germany)
Matches – 12 (Bundesliga, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 45;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.7;
Red cards shown – 2;
Average fouls per match – 21;
Penalties – 17%.
Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz
Dortmund is favored in the upcoming match. However, the teams' form, recent results, and league standings do not support this view.
Dortmund has managed only three wins in their last 11 league matches (1 draw, 7 losses). Their victories came against relegation candidates Heidenheim, Union, and St. Pauli. Even at home, the team has struggled, securing three points in just one of their last seven Bundesliga games.
Mainz, who fought to stay in the Bundesliga last season, is now in the Champions League zone. Bo Henriksen's side is on a six-match unbeaten run in the league, with three away wins during this stretch. Prior to this, Mainz suffered three consecutive away defeats, all by a narrow margin. Notably, they have not lost by more than one goal in the current league season.
My prediction: Mainz with a handicap (+1)
