The second leg of the 2024/25 Champions League quarter-final between Borussia Dortmund (Germany) and Barcelona (Spain) will take place on April 15 at Signal Iduna Park. The first match ended 4-0 in favor of Barcelona. Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona: match prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Borussia Dortmund
The German side suffered a crushing 0-4 defeat in the first leg. This was Dortmund's first loss in six Champions League matches (3 wins, 2 draws), and only the second time they failed to score in the current tournament. To advance to the next round, the club needs to win by at least five goals. If they beat their opponent by exactly four goals, extra time will be played.
- At least three goals have been scored in 7 of Borussia's last 9 Champions League matches.
- Dortmund has not lost in 16 of their last 17 home games in this tournament (10 wins, 6 draws).
- In 6 of their last 7 home games in the Champions League, Borussia has conceded no more than one goal.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (3-5-2)
Gregor Kobel – Niklas Süle, Waldemar Anton, Ramy Bensebaini – Felix Nmecha, Pascal Gross, Julian Brandt, Julian Ryerson, Daniel Svensson – Serhou Guirassy, Maximilian Beyer.
Midfielder Marcel Sabitzer and defender Nico Schlotterbeck are injured.
Barcelona
The victory in the first leg was the Catalans' ninth in the current tournament. Notably, in five of these matches, the team scored at least four goals. In the return leg, the Spaniards can even afford to lose by three goals. However, Barcelona is on a 10-match unbeaten run in the Champions League, and the last time they lost by at least four goals in this competition was in 2020.
- In 9 of their last 10 matches in this tournament, the Catalans have scored first.
- The team has conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 away Champions League matches.
- Barcelona has won 5 of their last 6 away games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Barcelona (4-3-3)
Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Inigo Martinez, Pau Cubarsi, Gerard Martin – Frenkie de Jong, Pedri, Fermin Lopez – Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias, Ferran Torres.
Goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen, midfielders Marc Bernal, Marc Casado, and defender Alex Balde are in the team's infirmary. Meanwhile, midfielder Dani Olmo has recovered from injury and may get some playing time.
Referee
Maurizio Mariani (Italy)
Matches – 11 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 42;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 22;
Penalties – 36%.
Borussia Dortmund vs. Barcelona: Match Prediction
It seems Dortmund's Champions League campaign is nearing its end. Overturning a four-goal deficit is challenging, and doing so against this Barcelona side is almost impossible. In the first match, the Catalans showcased the full strength of their attack. Even after such a convincing victory, the Spaniards are unlikely to be cautious in the return leg. Hans Flick's side is in excellent form and will not lower the standards they've set.
Borussia will undoubtedly try to redeem themselves in the eyes of their fans. Niko Kovac's team will attack and leave open spaces, which is extremely dangerous against Barcelona. The Catalans have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Champions League matches. As a result, the Spanish side currently boasts two of the top scorers in the 2024/25 Champions League, with Raphinha Dias having already equaled Lionel Messi's club record for points in a single tournament, while Robert Lewandowski has a special affinity for his former team, having scored 29 goals in 28 matches against Dortmund.
I believe the Catalans will continue their goal-scoring exploits. My prediction: Barcelona Individual Total Over 1.5
